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Eliteserien
Referee: Rohit Saggi
Sarpsborg 08
U S T S U
2–2
Full-time
Stabaek
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 42%
46%
38%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
54%
67%
Both score Ø 61%
58%
63%
Average goals
2,6
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 3. · Stabaek 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 25 16 6 3 +34 54
2 Molde 25 13 5 7 +13 44
3 Sarpsborg 08 24 11 9 4 +9 42
4 Brann 25 11 7 7 +16 40
5 Haugesund 25 11 6 8 +3 39
6 Stromsgodset 25 10 8 7 +2 38
7 Odd 25 10 5 10 -7 35
8 Valerenga 25 9 6 10 +0 33
9 Stabaek 24 9 6 9 -6 33
10 Sandefjord 25 10 3 12 -6 33
11 Lillestrom 25 8 7 10 -5 31
12 Kristiansund 25 7 8 10 -5 29
13 Sogndal 25 7 6 12 -8 27
14 Aalesund 25 6 7 12 -9 25
15 Tromso 25 6 7 12 -15 25
16 Viking 25 4 6 15 -16 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Stabaek
1–0 T. Heintz
K. Diatta
1′
2–0 K. Zachariassen
K. Diatta
12′
24′
🟨 Ronald Hernández
27′
M. Njie 2–1
Anders Østli 🟨
34′
Half-time 2–1
52′
🔁 A. El Amrani
↦ R. Hernández
Matti Lund Nielsen 🟨
66′
O. Hansen 🔁
↦ J. Jørgensen
70′
78′
🔁 R. Gyasi
↦ T. Lumanza
Joachim Thomassen 🟨
82′
J. Tveita 🔁
↦ T. Heintz
87′
87′
M. Skjønsberg 2–2
Ole Hansen 🟨
90′
90′
🔁 R. Rubin
↦ T. Brochmann
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
21 A. Kristiansen
11 J. Jørgensen D
16 J. Thomassen D
20 A. Østli D
8 M. Lund Nielsen M
7 O. Halvorsen M
17 K. Zachariassen M
14 T. Heintz M
19 K. Diatta F
77 A. Askar D
69 P. Mortensen F
Bench (7)
13 O. Hansen
22 J. Tveita
1 S. Čupić
2 A. Albech
10 J. Lindberg
18 T. Hovda
23 K. Hansen

Coach: G. Bakke

Stabaek

4-2-3-1
22 J. Alvbåge G
3 M. Skjønsberg D
16 A. Hanche-Olsen D
2 R. Hernández D
18 J. Moe D
89 T. Brochmann M
67 T. Lumanza M
28 L. Kassi M
11 M. Njie M
25 H. Vetlesen M
10 F. Boli F
Bench (7)
17 A. El Amrani
7 R. Gyasi
20 R. Rubin
6 H. Skogseid
12 J. Tredal
23 E. Bohinen
30 O. Brynhildsen

Coach: Toni Ordinas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rohit Saggi · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.