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Eliteserien
Referee: Tommy Skjerven
Molde
T S T S T
3–0
Full-time
Stabaek
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 31%
46%
15%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
62%
46%
Both score Ø 54%
46%
62%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

58% Possession 42%
14 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 6
11 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 8. · Stabaek 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 13 9 4 0 +15 31
2 Ranheim 13 8 2 3 +4 26
3 Rosenborg 13 7 3 3 +10 24
4 Haugesund 13 7 3 3 +6 24
5 Sarpsborg 08 13 6 4 3 +8 22
6 Valerenga 13 6 4 3 +1 22
7 Tromso 13 6 2 5 +5 20
8 Molde 13 6 2 5 +3 20
9 Kristiansund 13 5 4 4 +3 19
10 Odd 13 5 2 6 +3 17
11 Bodo/Glimt 13 3 4 6 -2 13
12 Stromsgodset 13 3 4 6 -3 13
13 Lillestrom 13 3 3 7 -7 12
14 Stabaek 13 2 5 6 -9 11
15 Start 13 2 2 9 -18 8
16 Sandefjord 13 1 2 10 -19 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Stabaek
1–0 F. Aursnes
10′
2–0 E. Hestad
14′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Hanche-Olsen
↦ O. Brynhildsen
M. Mostrøm 🔁
↦ F. Brustad
66′
68′
🔁 E. Bohinen
↦ R. Hernández
75′
🟨 Hugo Vetlesen
E. Håland 🔁
↦ E. Hestad
78′
84′
🔁 O. Aga
↦ H. Vetlesen
S. Gregersen 🔁
↦ D. Chima
85′
3–0 M. Mostrøm
P. Strand
89′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Molde

4-3-3
26 M. Ranmark G
5 V. Forren D
4 R. Gabrielsen D
28 K. Haugen D
22 C. Remmer D
14 P. Strand M
8 B. Sarr D
19 E. Hestad M
17 F. Aursnes M
33 F. Brustad F
27 D. Chima F
Bench (7)
9 M. Mostrøm
30 E. Håland
6 S. Gregersen
21 T. Svendsen
13 I. Wadji
20 T. Amang
46 H. Ræstad

Coach: O. Solskjær

Stabaek

4-2-3-1
30 M. Sayouba G
4 V. Demidov D
21 D. Granli D
2 R. Hernández D
18 J. Moe D
89 T. Brochmann M
8 J. Sæter M
42 T. Børkeeiet M
25 H. Vetlesen M
20 O. Brynhildsen M
99 O. Omoijuanfo F
Bench (7)
16 A. Hanche-Olsen
23 E. Bohinen
50 O. Aga
24 S. Kjellevold
98 Zhou Xin
10 F. Boli
97 Zheng Yiming

Coach: Toni Ordinas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tommy Skjerven · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.