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Eliteserien
Referee: Kai Erik Steen
Molde
T S T S S
5–1
Full-time
Valerenga
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,2
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 47%
53%
40%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
67%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

62% Possession 38%
12 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Molde 6. · Valerenga 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 16 10 5 1 +12 35
2 Rosenborg 16 10 3 3 +15 33
3 Ranheim 16 9 2 5 +0 29
4 Haugesund 16 8 4 4 +7 28
5 Sarpsborg 08 16 7 5 4 +10 26
6 Molde 15 8 2 5 +10 26
7 Tromso 16 8 2 6 +6 26
8 Valerenga 15 6 5 4 -2 23
9 Odd 16 6 2 8 +3 20
10 Kristiansund 15 5 5 5 +1 20
11 Stromsgodset 15 4 5 6 +0 17
12 Bodo/Glimt 16 3 7 6 -2 16
13 Lillestrom 16 3 5 8 -9 14
14 Stabaek 16 3 5 8 -12 14
15 Start 16 4 2 10 -17 14
16 Sandefjord 16 1 3 12 -22 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Apr -18 Valerenga – Molde 0–0 29. Oct -17 Valerenga – Molde 1–2 17. Apr -17 Molde – Valerenga 4–0 1. Aug -16 Valerenga – Molde 3–0 21. Apr -16 Molde – Valerenga 4–0

Match report

Molde Valerenga
1–0 M. Mostrøm ⚽
E. Håland
5′
2–0 E. Håland ⚽
20′
3–0 B. Sarr ⚽
E. Hussain
27′
Babacar Sarr 🟨
28′
31′
⚽ B. Finne 3–1
S. Friðjónsson
38′
🔁 F. Myhre
↦ M. Lekven
45′
🟨 Abdisalam Ibrahim
Half-time 3–1
52′
🟨 Jonatan Nation
4–1 E. Håland ⚽
E. Hestad
57′
63′
🔁 P. Michael
↦ S. Friðjónsson
D. Chima 🔁
↦ E. Håland
69′
5–1 D. Chima ⚽
E. Hestad
71′
T. Svendsen 🔁
↦ P. Strand
74′
F. Brustad 🔁
↦ E. Hestad
74′
80′
🟨 Abdisalam Ibrahim
80′
🟥 Abdisalam Ibrahim
81′
🔁 M. Grødem
↦ S. Johnson
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Molde

4-3-3
1 A. Linde G
5 V. Forren D
4 R. Gabrielsen D
28 K. Haugen D
22 C. Remmer D
14 P. Strand M
16 E. Hussain M
8 B. Sarr D
19 E. Hestad M
9 M. Mostrøm F
30 E. Håland F
Bench (7)
27 D. Chima
21 T. Svendsen
33 F. Brustad
6 S. Gregersen
20 T. Amang
26 M. Ranmark
13 I. Wadji

Coach: O. Solskjær

Valerenga

4-2-3-1
21 A. Kwarasey G
4 J. Nation D
33 A. Nouri D
25 S. Adekugbe D
5 F. Carvalho D
8 M. Lekven M
6 A. Ibrahim M
17 S. Juklerød D
27 S. Friðjónsson M
11 B. Finne M
10 S. Johnson F
Bench (7)
23 F. Myhre
19 P. Michael
29 M. Grødem
1 M. Sandberg
18 C. Borchgrevink
22 I. Näsberg
40 C. Ejuke

Coach: R. Deila

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Kai Erik Steen · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.