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OBOS-ligaen
Notodden
U S S S
0–2
Full-time
Sogndal
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Notodden Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
75%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 54%
75%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
75%
33%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Notodden 3. · Sogndal 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 4 4 0 0 +11 12
2 Viking 5 4 0 1 +7 12
3 Notodden 4 3 1 0 +6 10
4 Sandnes ULF 4 3 1 0 +3 10
5 Ull/Kisa 5 2 2 1 +3 8
6 Strommen 4 2 0 2 +4 6
7 Mjondalen 4 1 3 0 +2 6
8 Sogndal 3 1 2 0 +3 5
9 Asane 4 1 1 2 -5 4
10 Floro 4 1 1 2 -6 4
11 Ham-Kam 4 0 3 1 -2 3
12 Kongsvinger 5 1 0 4 -6 3
13 Jerv 3 0 2 1 -2 2
14 Levanger 4 0 1 3 -5 1
15 Tromsdalen Uil 3 0 1 2 -6 1
16 Nest-Sotra 4 0 0 4 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Notodden Sogndal
25′
P. Steiring 0–1
Half-time 0–2
52′
S. Mandić 0–2
Jeffrey Perez 🔁
↦ Filipe Ferreira
55′
H. Gustavsen 🔁
↦ A. Bakke
68′
68′
🔁 J. Hove
↦ S. Mandić
78′
🔁 O. Rindarøy
↦ T. Totland
K. Tøsse 🔁
↦ A. Akinyemi
79′
90′
🔁 L. Kjemhus
↦ J. Soltvedt
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Notodden

1 J. Johansson
4 M. Strange
14 J. Asp
5 S. Jenssen
6 M. Ledger
11 M. Holmen
17 Filipe Ferreira
26 A. Akinyemi
10 E. Midtgarden
22 A. Bakke
27 E. Hustad
Bench (7)
3 Jeffrey Perez
8 H. Gustavsen
21 K. Tøsse
12 E. Vasby
19 A. Hoven
20 A. Mbedule
18 J. Robson

Coach: K. Dokken

Sogndal

1 M. Dyngeland
2 A. Latifu
3 P. Steiring
16 R. Greenidge
31 U. Fredriksen
29 T. Totland
8 E. Birkelund
7 E. Schulze
30 J. Soltvedt
24 S. Jensen
10 S. Mandić
Bench (7)
28 J. Hove
14 O. Rindarøy
22 L. Kjemhus
9 U. Flo
12 K. Haug
17 M. Fofana
18 S. Haugen

Coach: E. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.