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Eliteserien
Referee: Tom Harald Hagen
Valerenga
S U T U T
2–2
Full-time
Sandefjord
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Sandefjord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,3
This season — Eliteserien · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 22%
38%
6%
Points per game
1,4
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
63%
44%
Both score Ø 44%
44%
44%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,6
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
25 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Corners 4
4 Offside 6
6 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 9. · Sandefjord 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 17 11 3 3 +17 36
2 Brann 16 10 5 1 +12 35
3 Molde 16 9 2 5 +14 29
4 Ranheim 17 9 2 6 -2 29
5 Haugesund 16 8 4 4 +7 28
6 Sarpsborg 08 16 7 5 4 +10 26
7 Tromso 16 8 2 6 +6 26
8 Kristiansund 16 6 5 5 +2 23
9 Valerenga 16 6 5 5 -6 23
10 Odd 16 6 2 8 +3 20
11 Stromsgodset 16 4 5 7 -1 17
12 Bodo/Glimt 16 3 7 6 -2 16
13 Lillestrom 16 3 5 8 -9 14
14 Stabaek 16 3 5 8 -12 14
15 Start 16 4 2 10 -17 14
16 Sandefjord 16 1 3 12 -22 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Sandefjord
3′
F. Kastrati 0–1
Half-time 0–1
M. Grødem 🔁
↦ S. Friðjónsson
46′
52′
🔁 P. Engblom
↦ Pau Morer
56′
🟨 Marc Vales
62′
🟨 Mohamed Ofkir
70′
🔁 A. Seck
↦ Marc Vales
73′
🟨 Flamur Kastrati
A. Dønnum 🔁
↦ S. Adekugbe
76′
79′
🔁 W. Kurtović
↦ F. Kastrati
80′
M. Ofkir 0–2
E. Pálsson
F. Myhre 🔁
↦ C. Ejuke
87′
89′
🟨 Enric Valles
1–2 P. Michael
F. Carvalho
89′
2–2 F. Myhre
93′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-2-3-1
21 A. Kwarasey G
33 A. Nouri D
22 I. Näsberg D
25 S. Adekugbe D
5 F. Carvalho D
7 D. Holm M
16 E. Israelsson M
27 S. Friðjónsson M
11 B. Finne M
40 C. Ejuke F
19 P. Michael F
Bench (7)
29 M. Grødem
26 A. Dønnum
23 F. Myhre
3 E. Jääger
9 F. Azemi
13 K. Klaesson
18 C. Borchgrevink

Coach: R. Deila

Sandefjord

4-2-3-1
12 E. Johansen G
2 L. Grorud D
17 Marc Vales D
21 S. Ringstad D
4 C. Reppesgård
5 Enric Vallès M
9 H. Storbæk M
7 E. Pálsson M
11 F. Kastrati F
6 M. Ofkir M
10 Pau Morer M
Bench (7)
15 P. Engblom
20 A. Seck
18 W. Kurtović
1 I. Jónsson
23 O. Breistøl
34 H. Nilsen
46 G. Gibson

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tom Harald Hagen · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.