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Eliteserien
Referee: Rohit Saggi
Stabaek
T U T S T
1–3
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 32%
19%
44%
Points per game
0,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
56%
69%
Both score Ø 66%
63%
69%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
1,0
1,9
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

58% Possession 42%
22 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
6 Corners 0
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stabaek 14. · Sarpsborg 08 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 17 11 3 3 +17 36
2 Brann 16 10 5 1 +12 35
3 Molde 16 9 2 5 +14 29
4 Ranheim 17 9 2 6 -2 29
5 Haugesund 16 8 4 4 +7 28
6 Sarpsborg 08 16 7 5 4 +10 26
7 Tromso 16 8 2 6 +6 26
8 Kristiansund 16 6 5 5 +2 23
9 Valerenga 16 6 5 5 -6 23
10 Odd 16 6 2 8 +3 20
11 Stromsgodset 16 4 5 7 -1 17
12 Bodo/Glimt 16 3 7 6 -2 16
13 Lillestrom 16 3 5 8 -9 14
14 Stabaek 16 3 5 8 -12 14
15 Start 16 4 2 10 -17 14
16 Sandefjord 16 1 3 12 -22 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Sarpsborg 08
2′
J. Tamm 0–1
K. Larsen
9′
P. Mortensen 0–2
1–2 H. Vetlesen
22′
23′
K. Larsen 1–3
J. Tveita
Tobias Borchgrevink Borkeeiet 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–3
M. Njie 🔁
↦ E. Bohinen
46′
R. Hernández 🔁
↦ A. Hanche-Olsen
46′
53′
🔁 A. Askar
↦ K. Larsen
59′
🔁 M. Lund Nielsen
↦ M. Agger
77′
🟨 Joachim Thomassen
O. Brynhildsen 🔁
↦ J. Sæter
78′
80′
🟨 Ole Jørgen Halvorsen
80′
🔁 M. Usman
↦ O. Halvorsen
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Stabaek

3-5-2
30 M. Sayouba G
4 V. Demidov D
21 D. Granli D
16 A. Hanche-Olsen D
18 J. Moe D
8 J. Sæter M
23 E. Bohinen M
42 T. Børkeeiet M
25 H. Vetlesen M
99 O. Omoijuanfo F
10 F. Boli F
Bench (7)
11 M. Njie
2 R. Hernández
20 O. Brynhildsen
89 T. Brochmann
15 M. Olsen
12 M. Sandberg
5 S. Strømnes

Coach: H. Berg

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
78 A. Vasyutin G
16 J. Thomassen D
6 J. Tamm D
4 B. Utvik D
23 H. Singh M
7 O. Halvorsen M
22 J. Tveita D
17 K. Zachariassen M
69 P. Mortensen F
18 M. Agger F
19 K. Larsen
Bench (7)
77 A. Askar
8 M. Lund Nielsen
14 M. Usman
11 J. Jørgensen
31 A. Falch
27 R. Muhammed
29 R. Schwartz

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rohit Saggi · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.