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OBOS-ligaen
Raufoss
S S T S S
4–2
Full-time
Jerv
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Raufoss Jerv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
5,0
2,5
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
2,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 43%
62%
23%
Points per game
1,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
69%
46%
Both score Ø 62%
69%
54%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Raufoss 3. · Jerv 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 13 10 2 1 +16 32
2 Sandefjord 13 9 3 1 +10 30
3 Raufoss 13 8 1 4 +0 25
4 Kongsvinger 13 7 3 3 +6 24
5 KFUM Oslo 13 7 2 4 +8 23
6 Start 12 7 1 4 +4 22
7 Ull/Kisa 13 6 2 5 +12 20
8 Nest-Sotra 13 5 3 5 +4 18
9 Sogndal 12 5 2 5 +1 17
10 Sandnes ULF 13 4 5 4 +1 17
11 Jerv 13 3 6 4 -5 15
12 Ham-Kam 13 3 4 6 -4 13
13 Skeid 13 2 4 7 -6 10
14 Notodden 13 3 1 9 -8 10
15 Strommen 13 1 5 7 -11 8
16 Tromsdalen Uil 13 0 2 11 -28 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Raufoss Jerv
1–0 M. Maigaard
14′
M. Maigaard 🟨
39′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 O. Løken
47′
53′
🔁 H. Suggelia
↦ T. Zernichow
3–0 M. Maigaard
57′
65′
🔁 A. Okachi
↦ O. Håbestad
66′
A. Okachi 3–1
M. Moldskred 🔁
↦ Ikhsan Fandi
67′
E. Race 🟨
72′
77′
L. Ferreira 3–2
4–2 R. Doghman
88′
M. Heiberg 🔁
↦ R. Doghman
90′
G. Simenstad 🔁
↦ O. Løken
90′
90′
🔁 V. Somdal
↦ L. Ferreira
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Raufoss

1 O. Lauvli
2 E. Race
5 M. Alm
19 P. Bizoza
22 K. Nesso
6 S. Nilsen
10 R. Doghman
17 S. Owusu
11 M. Maigaard
18 Ikhsan Fandi
14 O. Løken
Bench (6)
8 M. Moldskred
15 M. Heiberg
20 G. Simenstad
13 H. Fløgum
16 S. Giæver
23 R. Johnsen

Coach: C. Johnsen

Jerv

1 B. Boujar
7 S. Larsen
19 K. Tønnessen
2 T. Wichne
6 M. Wichmann
8 T. Zernichow
11 D. Aase
25 M. Ogungbaro
9 L. Ferreira
17 M. Andersen
23 O. Håbestad
Bench (5)
13 H. Suggelia
96 A. Okachi
14 V. Somdal
20 Ø. Øvretveit
21 T. Bringsverd

Coach: A. Sandstø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.