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OBOS-ligaen
Nest-Sotra
T S T U U
4–1
Full-time
Jerv
T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nest-Sotra Jerv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
36%
45%
Both score Ø 50%
45%
55%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Nest-Sotra 12. · Jerv 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 11 9 2 0 +15 29
2 Sandefjord 12 8 3 1 +8 27
3 Kongsvinger 11 6 3 2 +5 21
4 KFUM Oslo 11 6 2 3 +8 20
5 Start 11 6 1 4 +2 19
6 Raufoss 11 6 1 4 -2 19
7 Ull/Kisa 12 5 2 5 +10 17
8 Jerv 11 3 6 2 +0 15
9 Sogndal 10 4 2 4 +2 14
10 Sandnes ULF 11 3 5 3 +2 14
11 Ham-Kam 11 3 4 4 -1 13
12 Nest-Sotra 11 3 3 5 +0 12
13 Skeid 11 2 4 5 -3 10
14 Notodden 12 2 1 9 -11 7
15 Strommen 11 0 5 6 -10 5
16 Tromsdalen Uil 11 0 2 9 -25 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nest-Sotra Jerv
12′
T. Zernichow 0–1
1–1 B. Haugsdal
21′
43′
🟨 L. S. Andreas
Half-time 2–1
2–1 M. Sande
49′
3–1 B. Haugsdal
53′
M. Mehnert 🔁
↦ L. Rochester Sørensen
56′
60′
🔁 M. Andersen
↦ T. Wichne
J. Hestetun 🔁
↦ J. De Souza
70′
74′
🔁 A. Khalili
↦ P. Reinhardsen
4–1 M. Mehnert
76′
E. Larsen 🔁
↦ M. Songve
80′
81′
🟨 M. Andersen
83′
🔁 M. Ogungbaro
↦ C. Anene
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Nest-Sotra

1 R. Fij
68 E. Nurkic
5 B. Haugsdal
3 D. Arrocha
22 M. Songve
26 I. Anthony
29 K. Stephensen
9 L. Rochester Sørensen
21 M. Sande
10 A. Dang
20 J. De Souza
Bench (7)
77 M. Mehnert
4 J. Hestetun
2 E. Larsen
6 P. Nergard
14 T. Økland
27 S. Hagos
99 M. Pettersen

Coach: S. Landro

Jerv

1 B. Boujar
4 E. Knudsen
7 S. Larsen
19 K. Tønnessen
2 T. Wichne
5 P. Reinhardsen
6 M. Wichmann
8 T. Zernichow
11 D. Aase
27 C. Anene
23 O. Håbestad
Bench (5)
17 M. Andersen
10 A. Khalili
25 M. Ogungbaro
13 H. Suggelia
20 Ø. Øvretveit

Coach: A. Sandstø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.