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OBOS-ligaen
Aalesund
S S T S S
2–0
Full-time
Nest-Sotra
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Nest-Sotra
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 61%
79%
43%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
57%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,9
2,4
Scored
2,1
1,4
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 1. · Nest-Sotra 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 14 11 2 1 +18 35
2 Sandefjord 14 10 3 1 +11 33
3 Start 14 9 1 4 +8 28
4 Raufoss 14 9 1 4 +2 28
5 Kongsvinger 14 7 3 4 +5 24
6 KFUM Oslo 14 7 2 5 +6 23
7 Nest-Sotra 14 6 3 5 +5 21
8 Ull/Kisa 14 6 2 6 +10 20
9 Sogndal 14 6 2 6 +3 20
10 Sandnes ULF 14 5 5 4 +3 20
11 Jerv 14 3 6 5 -7 15
12 Ham-Kam 14 3 4 7 -7 13
13 Strommen 15 2 6 7 -9 12
14 Skeid 14 2 5 7 -6 11
15 Notodden 14 3 1 10 -9 10
16 Tromsdalen Uil 15 0 2 13 -33 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Nest-Sotra
F. Carlsen 🟨
10′
S. Fet 🔁
↦ I. Uzochukwu
30′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 S. Hagos
↦ J. De Souza
1–0 K. Ramsteijn
50′
57′
🟨 E. Nurkic
61′
🔁 E. Larsen
↦ E. Nurkic
J. Meade 🔁
↦ J. Hatlehol
66′
69′
🔁 J. Aas
↦ J. Hestetun
Nenass 🔁
↦ F. Carlsen
72′
D. Olafsson 🟨
81′
S. Fet 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 I. Anthony
2–0 N. Castro
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Aalesund

1 A. Lie
4 J. Grønner
6 K. Ramsteijn
3 D. Grétarsson
18 D. Ólafsson
16 J. Hatlehol
8 F. Carlsen
30 I. Uzochukwu
11 A. Þrándarson
9 N. Castro
14 H. Guèye
Bench (7)
17 S. Fet
19 J. Meade
7 Nenass
13 T. Omenås
15 S. Sæthre
23 T. Agdestein
25 K. Hay

Coach: L. Bohinen

Nest-Sotra

1 R. Fij
68 E. Nurkic
5 B. Haugsdal
3 D. Arrocha
26 I. Anthony
29 K. Stephensen
21 M. Sande
19 A. Hoven
4 J. Hestetun
77 M. Mehnert
20 J. De Souza
Bench (7)
27 S. Hagos
2 E. Larsen
7 J. Aas
9 L. Rochester Sørensen
14 T. Økland
99 M. Pettersen
22 M. Songve

Coach: S. Landro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.