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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: H Sletner
Sogndal
U S S S S
5–2
Full-time
Kongsvinger
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Kongsvinger
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
0,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 41%
63%
18%
Points per game
2,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
63%
41%
Both score Ø 52%
50%
53%
Average goals
3,4
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sogndal 2. · Kongsvinger 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tromso 17 12 2 3 +18 38
2 Sogndal 16 10 3 3 +16 33
3 Lillestrom 17 9 5 3 +11 32
4 Ranheim 16 10 1 5 +21 31
5 Asane 16 8 4 4 +12 28
6 Stjørdals-Blink 17 7 4 6 +3 25
7 Sandnes ULF 18 7 4 7 -9 25
8 Grorud 18 6 6 6 +0 24
9 Raufoss 17 5 7 5 +3 22
10 Strommen 18 6 3 9 -8 21
11 KFUM Oslo 18 5 5 8 -7 20
12 Ull/Kisa 16 4 5 7 -6 17
13 Jerv 15 3 6 6 -12 15
14 Øygarden 18 3 5 10 -17 14
15 Ham-Kam 16 3 4 9 -11 13
16 Kongsvinger 17 3 4 10 -14 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sogndal Kongsvinger
1–0 K. Hoven
20′
2–0 K. Hoven
30′
3–0 M. Blårud
34′
D. Eid 🟨
36′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 M. Gjerstrøm
↦ M. Vinjor
46′
🔁 L. Langrekken
↦ A. Güven
4–0 K. Hoven
47′
T. Kristoffersen 🔁
↦ S. Mannsverk
51′
A. van der Spa 🔁
↦ I. Ogbu
62′
62′
🔁 V. Jalasto
↦ D. Lysgård
62′
🔁 H. Nilsen
↦ J. Grundt
S. Jensen 🔁
↦ A. Hoven
63′
5–0 K. Hoven
67′
74′
🟨 L. Langrekken
76′
V. Jalasto 5–1
E. Helgesen 🔁
↦ T. Totland
82′
A. Solberg 🔁
↦ K. Hoven
82′
82′
🔁 E. Bydal
↦ H. Holter
85′
M. Andersen 5–2
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Sogndal

1 R. Fij
6 A. Kryger
4 M. Roseth
5 D. Eid
2 T. Totland
30 I. Ogbu
17 M. Blårud
25 A. Ndour
7 S. Mannsverk
18 K. Hoven
11 A. Hoven
Bench (9)
8 T. Kristoffersen
3 A. van der Spa
24 S. Jensen
22 E. Helgesen
27 A. Solberg
19 T. Bjørnebye
20 M. Brændsrød
32 F. Mardal
37 H. Hetle

Coach: E. Bakke

Kongsvinger

27 R. Mandanda
3 V. Grodås
2 F. Pålerud
18 P. Steiring
21 D. Lysgård
16 H. Holter
11 S. Marklund
23 M. Vinjor
50 J. Grundt
9 A. Güven
8 M. Andersen
Bench (9)
17 M. Gjerstrøm
22 L. Langrekken
6 V. Jalasto
19 H. Nilsen
20 E. Bydal
7 Lee Gyu-hwan
15 M. Al Laham
24 R. Essaeh
31 A. Smedplass

Coach: M. Lehkosuo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.