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Premier League

Referee: S Attwell

Fulham

S T S T T

0–3

Full-time

Aston Villa

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham Aston Villa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

1,8

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — Premier League · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

5,0

1,0

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

3,5

0,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

65% Possession 35%

16 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

18 Free kicks against 14

6 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Everton	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Crystal Palace	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Leeds	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Tottenham	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Chelsea	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Newcastle	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	West Ham	3	1	0	2	+1	3
11	Brighton	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Man City	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Man United	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Southampton	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Wolves	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	West Brom	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Burnley	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Fulham	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Sheffield United	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	West Ham	2	1	0	1	+2	3
3	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Tottenham	2	0	1	1	-1	1
9	West Brom	2	0	1	1	-3	1
10	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Man United	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Brighton	2	0	0	2	-3	0
15	Man City	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Sheffield United	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Everton	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Newcastle	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Leeds	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Southampton	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Wolves	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.