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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Genk
S U U T S
2–2
Full-time
Oostende
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 70%
80%
60%
Average goals
3,2
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 11
8 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 22
1 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 12. · Oostende 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Charleroi 8 6 2 0 +10 20
2 Beerschot VA 8 6 0 2 +4 18
3 Anderlecht 9 4 5 0 +8 17
4 Standard 8 5 2 1 +6 17
5 Club Brugge 7 5 0 2 +15 15
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 8 4 2 2 +2 14
7 Kortrijk 9 4 1 4 +1 13
8 Waregem 9 4 1 4 -3 13
9 Antwerp 8 3 3 2 +1 12
10 Mechelen 6 3 1 2 +1 10
11 Cercle Brugge 7 3 0 4 +0 9
12 Genk 5 2 2 1 +0 8
13 Eupen 7 1 5 1 -3 8
14 Gent 7 2 0 5 -3 6
15 Oostende 5 1 2 2 +0 5
16 St Truiden 7 1 2 4 -7 5
17 Mouscron 7 0 3 4 -6 3
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 7 0 3 4 -6 3
19 Waasland-Beveren 7 1 0 6 -10 3
20 Beveren 7 1 0 6 -10 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Oostende
3′
C. McGeehan 0–1
1–1 P. Onuachu
J. Mæhle
8′
40′
🟨 Cameron McGeehan
45′
🟨 Makhtar Gueye
Half-time 1–1
Jhon Lucumi 🟨
48′
2–1 P. Onuachu
52′
Bastien Toma 🟥
56′
D. Muñoz 🔁
↦ L. Oyen
58′
72′
🔁 I. Boonen
↦ K. Vandendriessche
M. Dæhli 🔁
↦ K. Thorstvedt
75′
83′
M. Gueye 2–2
J. Bataille
88′
🟨 Andrew Hjulsager
90′
🟨 Théo Ndicka Matam
90′
🟨 Jelle Bataille
G. Arteaga 🔁
↦ J. Uronen
90′
90′
🔁 N. Bätzner
↦ A. Hjulsager
90′
🔁 M. Kvasina
↦ M. Gueye
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
21 J. Uronen D
33 J. Lucumí D
46 C. Cuesta D
31 J. Mæhle D
17 P. Hrošovský M
11 B. Toma M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
24 L. Oyen M
18 P. Onuachu F
7 J. Ito
Bench (7)
23 D. Muñoz
20 M. Dæhli
5 G. Arteaga
22 B. Limbombe
4 D. Wouters
40 T. Leysen
9 C. Dessers

Coach: J. Thorup

Oostende

4-3-3
28 G. Hubert G
33 A. Tanghe D
20 T. Matam D
5 A. Theate D
26 K. Vandendriessche M
18 C. McGeehan M
17 A. Hjulsager M
6 M. D'Arpino M
25 J. Bataille M
10 F. Sakala F
7 M. Gueye F
Bench (7)
11 I. Boonen
34 N. Bätzner
21 M. Kvasina
8 F. Marquet
27 B. Capon
4 J. Hendry
99 B. Castro

Coach: A. Blessin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,53
U ✓
4,20
B
5,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,20
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.