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Premier League

Referee: Mike Jones

West Brom

U U U T T

1–0

Full-time

Newcastle

T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Newcastle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

This season — Premier League · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 25%

28%

22%

Points per game

1,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

39%

50%

Both score Ø 44%

44%

Average goals

2,3

2,9

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

22 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 2

12 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

18 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match West Brom 13. · Newcastle 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	18	11	5	2	+12	38
2	Arsenal	18	11	3	4	+13	36
3	Man City	18	11	2	5	+17	35
4	Tottenham	18	8	8	2	+17	32
5	Crystal Palace	18	9	3	6	+7	30
6	Man United	18	8	5	5	+6	29
7	Watford	18	8	5	5	+5	29
8	Liverpool	18	7	6	5	-1	27
9	Everton	18	6	8	4	+8	26
10	West Ham	18	6	8	4	+4	26
11	Stoke	18	7	5	6	+0	26
12	Southampton	18	6	6	6	+4	24
13	West Brom	18	5	5	8	-7	20
14	Bournemouth	18	5	5	8	-10	20
15	Chelsea	18	5	4	9	-6	19
16	Swansea	18	4	6	8	-8	18
17	Norwich	18	4	5	9	-12	17
18	Newcastle	18	4	5	9	-14	17
19	Sunderland	18	3	3	12	-18	12
20	Aston Villa	18	1	5	12	-17	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	10	8	0	2	+17	24
2	Tottenham	10	5	4	1	+11	19
3	Arsenal	8	5	2	1	+7	17
4	Leicester	8	5	2	1	+3	17
5	Man United	8	4	3	1	+7	15
6	Liverpool	9	4	3	2	+0	15
7	Southampton	10	4	2	4	+4	14
8	Watford	9	4	2	3	+3	14
9	Chelsea	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Crystal Palace	9	4	1	4	+3	13
11	Stoke	9	4	1	4	+1	13
12	Swansea	10	3	4	3	-3	13
13	Everton	9	3	3	3	+4	12
14	West Ham	8	2	4	2	+1	10
15	Newcastle	10	2	4	4	+0	10
16	Bournemouth	9	2	4	3	-3	10
17	Norwich	8	2	3	3	-1	9
18	Sunderland	8	2	2	4	+0	8
19	West Brom	9	2	2	5	-5	8
20	Aston Villa	9	0	3	6	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	10	6	3	1	+9	21
2	Arsenal	10	6	1	3	+6	19
3	Crystal Palace	9	5	2	2	+4	17
4	West Ham	10	4	4	2	+3	16
5	Watford	9	4	3	2	+2	15
6	Everton	9	3	5	1	+4	14
7	Man United	10	4	2	4	-1	14
8	Tottenham	8	3	4	1	+6	13
9	Stoke	9	3	4	2	-1	13
10	Liverpool	9	3	3	3	-1	12
11	West Brom	9	3	3	3	-2	12
12	Man City	8	3	2	3	+0	11
13	Southampton	8	2	4	2	+0	10
14	Bournemouth	9	3	1	5	-7	10
15	Norwich	10	2	2	6	-11	8
16	Newcastle	8	2	1	5	-14	7
17	Swansea	8	1	2	5	-5	5
18	Chelsea	8	1	2	5	-7	5
19	Aston Villa	9	1	2	6	-10	5
20	Sunderland	10	1	1	8	-18	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.