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Premier League

Referee: Andre Marriner

Newcastle

T U S T T

2–0

Full-time

Liverpool

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newcastle Liverpool

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

2,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,8

This season — Premier League · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 29%

14%

43%

Points per game

0,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

57%

43%

Both score Ø 50%

43%

57%

Average goals

3,1

2,4

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

2,1

1,1

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

6 Shots 10

1 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Newcastle 19. · Liverpool 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	15	9	5	1	+11	32
2	Arsenal	15	9	3	3	+14	30
3	Man City	15	9	2	4	+14	29
4	Man United	15	8	5	2	+10	29
5	Tottenham	15	6	8	1	+13	26
6	West Ham	15	6	5	4	+4	23
7	Liverpool	14	6	5	3	+3	23
8	Crystal Palace	14	7	1	6	+5	22
9	Watford	15	6	4	5	+1	22
10	Stoke	15	6	4	5	-1	22
11	Everton	14	5	6	3	+8	21
12	Southampton	15	5	6	4	+3	21
13	West Brom	15	5	4	6	-5	19
14	Chelsea	15	4	3	8	-7	15
15	Swansea	15	3	5	7	-8	14
16	Norwich	15	3	4	8	-10	13
17	Bournemouth	15	3	4	8	-12	13
18	Sunderland	15	3	3	9	-12	12
19	Newcastle	14	2	4	8	-16	10
20	Aston Villa	15	1	3	11	-15	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	8	6	0	2	+13	18
2	Tottenham	8	4	4	0	+9	16
3	Man United	7	4	3	0	+8	15
4	Arsenal	7	4	2	1	+6	14
5	Leicester	7	4	2	1	+2	14
6	Everton	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	Southampton	8	3	2	3	+2	11
8	Watford	8	3	2	3	+0	11
9	Liverpool	7	3	2	2	-1	11
10	Crystal Palace	8	3	1	4	+2	10
11	Stoke	7	3	1	3	+0	10
12	Chelsea	8	3	1	4	-1	10
13	West Ham	7	2	3	2	+1	9
14	Swansea	8	2	3	3	-4	9
15	Sunderland	7	2	2	3	+1	8
16	Norwich	7	2	2	3	-1	8
17	West Brom	8	2	2	4	-4	8
18	Newcastle	7	1	3	3	-1	6
19	Bournemouth	7	1	3	3	-4	6
20	Aston Villa	7	0	2	5	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	8	5	3	0	+9	18
2	Arsenal	8	5	1	2	+8	16
3	West Ham	8	4	2	2	+3	14
4	Man United	8	4	2	2	+2	14
5	Liverpool	7	3	3	1	+4	12
6	Crystal Palace	6	4	0	2	+3	12
7	Stoke	8	3	3	2	-1	12
8	Watford	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Man City	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	West Brom	7	3	2	2	-1	11
11	Tottenham	7	2	4	1	+4	10
12	Everton	7	2	4	1	+3	10
13	Southampton	7	2	4	1	+1	10
14	Bournemouth	8	2	1	5	-8	7
15	Swansea	7	1	2	4	-4	5
16	Chelsea	7	1	2	4	-6	5
17	Norwich	8	1	2	5	-9	5
18	Aston Villa	8	1	1	6	-10	4
19	Sunderland	8	1	1	6	-13	4
20	Newcastle	7	1	1	5	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.