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Premier League
Referee: Kevin Friend
0–3
Full-time
Chelsea
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Chelsea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
This season — Premier League · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 37%
47%
26%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
42%
63%
Both score Ø 53%
47%
58%
Average goals
2,1
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

39% Possession 61%
8 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 7
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crystal Palace 7. · Chelsea 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Arsenal 20 13 3 4 +16 42
2 Leicester 20 11 7 2 +12 40
3 Man City 20 12 3 5 +18 39
4 Tottenham 19 9 8 2 +18 35
5 Man United 20 9 6 5 +7 33
6 West Ham 20 8 8 4 +7 32
7 Crystal Palace 19 9 4 6 +7 31
8 Liverpool 20 8 6 6 -2 30
9 Watford 20 8 5 7 +3 29
10 Stoke 20 8 5 7 +0 29
11 Everton 19 6 8 5 +7 26
12 West Brom 20 7 5 8 -5 26
13 Southampton 20 6 6 8 +2 24
14 Norwich 20 6 5 9 -9 23
15 Bournemouth 20 5 6 9 -12 21
16 Chelsea 19 5 5 9 -6 20
17 Swansea 20 4 7 9 -9 19
18 Newcastle 20 4 5 11 -16 17
19 Sunderland 20 4 3 13 -17 15
20 Aston Villa 20 1 5 14 -21 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Crystal Palace Chelsea
Damien Delaney 🟨
13′
16′
🔁 Pedro
↦ E. Hazard
29′
Oscar 0–1
Diego Costa
Half-time 0–1
Mile Jedinak 🟨
57′
60′
Willian 0–2
Oscar
66′
Diego Costa 0–3
M. Chamakh 🔁
↦ F. Campbell
67′
J. Ledley 🔁
↦ M. Jedinak
67′
Scott Dann 🟨
80′
J. Williams 🔁
↦ Chung-Yong Lee
80′
88′
🔁 N. Matić
↦ Oscar
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

13 W. Hennessey G
27 D. Delaney D
6 S. Dann D
2 J. Ward D
23 P. Souaré D
15 M. Jedinak M
14 Chung-Yong Lee M
42 J. Puncheon M
18 J. McArthur M
11 W. Zaha M
9 F. Campbell F
Bench (7)
29 M. Chamakh
28 J. Ledley
20 J. Williams
34 M. Kelly
26 B. Sako
22 J. Mutch
12 A. McCarthy

Chelsea

13 T. Courtois G
26 J. Terry D
2 B. Ivanović D
28 Azpilicueta D
5 K. Zouma D
4 Fàbregas M
12 J. Obi Mikel M
22 Willian M
10 E. Hazard M
8 Oscar M
19 Diego Costa F
Bench (7)
17 Pedro
21 N. Matić
6 A. Baba
36 R. Loftus-Cheek
1 A. Begović
7 Ramires
14 B. Traore

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kevin Friend · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.