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La Liga

Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez

Valencia

T U U U T

2–2

Full-time

Real Madrid

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,0

4,7

Scored

0,8

3,2

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,7

This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 47%

29%

65%

Points per game

1,3

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

35%

65%

Both score Ø 47%

47%

Average goals

2,1

3,6

Scored

1,2

2,6

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%

12 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Valencia 11. · Real Madrid 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	18	13	2	3	+17	41
2	Barcelona	17	12	3	2	+25	39
3	Real Madrid	17	11	3	3	+29	36
4	Villarreal	18	11	3	4	+8	36
5	Celta	18	9	4	5	+3	31
6	Ath Bilbao	18	8	4	6	+7	28
7	La Coruna	18	6	9	3	+8	27
8	Eibar	18	7	6	5	+6	27
9	Sevilla	18	7	5	6	+3	26
10	Malaga	18	6	5	7	-1	23
11	Valencia	17	5	7	5	+6	22
12	Espanol	18	6	3	9	-12	21
13	Betis	18	5	5	8	-14	20
14	Sociedad	18	4	5	9	-7	17
15	Getafe	17	4	5	8	-8	17
16	Las Palmas	18	4	5	9	-8	17
17	Granada	18	4	5	9	-12	17
18	Sp Gijon	16	4	3	9	-10	15
19	Vallecano	18	4	3	11	-21	15
20	Levante	18	2	5	11	-19	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	8	1	0	+21	25
2	Real Madrid	9	7	1	1	+20	22
3	Villarreal	9	7	1	1	+8	22
4	Ath Madrid	9	7	1	1	+7	22
5	Sevilla	9	7	0	2	+9	21
6	Ath Bilbao	9	5	2	2	+8	17
7	Getafe	9	4	3	2	+7	15
8	Malaga	9	4	3	2	+5	15
9	Eibar	9	4	3	2	+3	15
10	Espanol	9	4	3	2	-2	15
11	Valencia	8	3	5	0	+7	14
12	Las Palmas	9	4	2	3	+3	14
13	Celta	9	4	2	3	+1	14
14	La Coruna	9	3	4	2	+5	13
15	Vallecano	10	3	2	5	-5	11
16	Sp Gijon	7	2	2	3	-2	8
17	Sociedad	8	2	2	4	-3	8
18	Granada	9	2	2	5	-8	8
19	Levante	9	1	3	5	-7	6
20	Betis	9	1	3	5	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	9	6	1	2	+10	19
2	Celta	9	5	2	2	+2	17
3	Real Madrid	8	4	2	2	+9	14
4	Barcelona	8	4	2	2	+4	14
5	La Coruna	9	3	5	1	+3	14
6	Villarreal	9	4	2	3	+0	14
7	Betis	9	4	2	3	-5	14
8	Eibar	9	3	3	3	+3	12
9	Ath Bilbao	9	3	2	4	-1	11
10	Sociedad	10	2	3	5	-4	9
11	Granada	9	2	3	4	-4	9
12	Valencia	9	2	2	5	-1	8
13	Malaga	9	2	2	5	-6	8
14	Sp Gijon	9	2	1	6	-8	7
15	Espanol	9	2	0	7	-10	6
16	Sevilla	9	0	5	4	-6	5
17	Levante	9	1	2	6	-12	5
18	Vallecano	8	1	1	6	-16	4
19	Las Palmas	9	0	3	6	-11	3
20	Getafe	8	0	2	6	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.