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La Liga

Referee: David Fernandez Borbalan

La Coruna

S U U S U

1–2

Full-time

Villarreal

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Coruna Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

0,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 47%

35%

59%

Points per game

1,6

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

35%

41%

Both score Ø 53%

59%

47%

Average goals

2,4

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%

11 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match La Coruna 6. · Villarreal 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	18	13	2	3	+17	41
2	Barcelona	17	12	3	2	+25	39
3	Real Madrid	17	11	3	3	+29	36
4	Villarreal	17	10	3	4	+7	33
5	Celta	18	9	4	5	+3	31
6	La Coruna	17	6	9	2	+9	27
7	Ath Bilbao	17	8	3	6	+7	27
8	Eibar	18	7	6	5	+6	27
9	Sevilla	18	7	5	6	+3	26
10	Malaga	18	6	5	7	-1	23
11	Valencia	17	5	7	5	+6	22
12	Espanol	18	6	3	9	-12	21
13	Betis	18	5	5	8	-14	20
14	Sociedad	18	4	5	9	-7	17
15	Getafe	17	4	5	8	-8	17
16	Granada	18	4	5	9	-12	17
17	Las Palmas	17	4	4	9	-8	16
18	Sp Gijon	16	4	3	9	-10	15
19	Vallecano	18	4	3	11	-21	15
20	Levante	18	2	5	11	-19	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	8	1	0	+21	25
2	Real Madrid	9	7	1	1	+20	22
3	Villarreal	9	7	1	1	+8	22
4	Ath Madrid	9	7	1	1	+7	22
5	Sevilla	9	7	0	2	+9	21
6	Ath Bilbao	8	5	1	2	+8	16
7	Getafe	9	4	3	2	+7	15
8	Malaga	9	4	3	2	+5	15
9	Eibar	9	4	3	2	+3	15
10	Espanol	9	4	3	2	-2	15
11	Valencia	8	3	5	0	+7	14
12	Las Palmas	9	4	2	3	+3	14
13	Celta	9	4	2	3	+1	14
14	La Coruna	8	3	4	1	+6	13
15	Vallecano	10	3	2	5	-5	11
16	Sp Gijon	7	2	2	3	-2	8
17	Sociedad	8	2	2	4	-3	8
18	Granada	9	2	2	5	-8	8
19	Levante	9	1	3	5	-7	6
20	Betis	9	1	3	5	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	9	6	1	2	+10	19
2	Celta	9	5	2	2	+2	17
3	Real Madrid	8	4	2	2	+9	14
4	Barcelona	8	4	2	2	+4	14
5	La Coruna	9	3	5	1	+3	14
6	Betis	9	4	2	3	-5	14
7	Eibar	9	3	3	3	+3	12
8	Ath Bilbao	9	3	2	4	-1	11
9	Villarreal	8	3	2	3	-1	11
10	Sociedad	10	2	3	5	-4	9
11	Granada	9	2	3	4	-4	9
12	Valencia	9	2	2	5	-1	8
13	Malaga	9	2	2	5	-6	8
14	Sp Gijon	9	2	1	6	-8	7
15	Espanol	9	2	0	7	-10	6
16	Sevilla	9	0	5	4	-6	5
17	Levante	9	1	2	6	-12	5
18	Vallecano	8	1	1	6	-16	4
19	Las Palmas	8	0	2	6	-11	2
20	Getafe	8	0	2	6	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.