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Premier League
Referee: Mike Dean
Middlesbrough
U U T U T
0–0
Full-time
Everton
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Everton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,8
Scored
0,5
2,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,8
This season — Premier League · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 32%
17%
46%
Points per game
0,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
38%
46%
Both score Ø 50%
46%
54%
Average goals
1,9
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
9 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Middlesbrough 15. · Everton 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chelsea 24 19 2 3 +34 59
2 Tottenham 24 14 8 2 +30 50
3 Arsenal 25 15 5 5 +26 50
4 Man City 24 15 4 5 +20 49
5 Liverpool 24 13 7 4 +22 46
6 Man United 24 12 9 3 +15 45
7 Everton 24 11 7 6 +13 40
8 West Brom 24 10 6 8 +3 36
9 West Ham 24 9 4 11 -9 31
10 Watford 24 8 6 10 -11 30
11 Stoke 24 7 8 9 -7 29
12 Burnley 24 9 2 13 -9 29
13 Southampton 24 7 6 11 -7 27
14 Bournemouth 24 7 5 12 -12 26
15 Middlesbrough 24 4 9 11 -8 21
16 Leicester 24 5 6 13 -17 21
17 Swansea 24 6 3 15 -25 21
18 Hull 25 5 5 15 -27 20
19 Crystal Palace 24 5 4 15 -13 19
20 Sunderland 24 5 4 15 -18 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Middlesbrough Everton
Adam Clayton 🟨
31′
Half-time 0–0
A. Guédioura 🔁
↦ A. Forshaw
58′
62′
🔁 E. Valencia
↦ I. Gueye
G. Ramírez 🔁
↦ C. Stuani
67′
73′
🔁 A. Lennon
↦ A. Lookman
R. Gestede 🔁
↦ Álvaro Negredo
82′
Gastón Ramírez 🟨
85′
87′
🔁 G. Barry
↦ R. Barkley
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Middlesbrough

4-3-3
26 Víctor Valdés G
5 B. Espinosa D
2 Fábio D
6 B. Gibson D
25 C. Chambers D
8 A. Clayton M
34 A. Forshaw M
14 M. de Roon M
37 Adama Traoré F
10 Álvaro Negredo F
18 C. Stuani F
Bench (7)
27 A. Guédioura
21 G. Ramírez
29 R. Gestede
4 Daniel Ayala
7 G. Leadbitter
12 B. Guzan
19 S. Downing

Coach: Karanka

Everton

4-3-3
1 Joel Robles G
3 L. Baines D
23 S. Coleman D
5 A. Williams D
25 Ramiro Funes Mori D
2 M. Schneiderlin M
17 I. Gueye M
8 R. Barkley F
26 T. Davies M
10 R. Lukaku F
31 A. Lookman F
Bench (7)
19 E. Valencia
12 A. Lennon
18 G. Barry
6 P. Jagielka
9 A. Koné
22 M. Stekelenburg
30 M. Holgate

Coach: R. Koeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mike Dean · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.