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Ligue 1

Referee: Brisard Jerome

Dijon

U U S T T

2–0

Full-time

Caen

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 24/23 matches

Win Ø 26%

21%

30%

Points per game

1,0

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

54%

43%

Both score Ø 49%

58%

39%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

8 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dijon 17. · Caen 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	24	17	4	3	+47	55
2	Paris SG	25	17	4	4	+32	55
3	Nice	24	15	7	2	+21	52
4	Lyon	24	13	1	10	+16	40
5	St Etienne	24	9	9	6	+7	36
6	Marseille	24	10	6	8	+3	36
7	Bordeaux	25	9	9	7	-2	36
8	Guingamp	25	9	7	9	+0	34
9	Rennes	24	8	8	8	-4	32
10	Toulouse	24	8	6	10	+0	30
11	Metz	23	8	5	10	-15	29
12	Nancy	23	7	6	10	-11	27
13	Lille	24	7	5	12	-8	26
14	Montpellier	24	6	8	10	-9	26
15	Nantes	23	7	5	11	-16	26
16	Caen	23	7	4	12	-15	25
17	Dijon	24	5	9	10	-5	24
18	Angers	24	6	6	12	-13	24
19	Bastia	23	5	7	11	-8	22
20	Lorient	24	6	4	14	-20	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	13	10	3	0	+19	33
2	Monaco	12	10	1	1	+31	31
3	Paris SG	12	8	4	0	+22	28
4	Marseille	12	8	3	1	+13	27
5	Lyon	12	8	0	4	+12	24
6	Rennes	12	7	3	2	+8	24
7	Guingamp	12	7	3	2	+6	24
8	St Etienne	12	6	5	1	+8	23
9	Montpellier	12	6	4	2	+10	22
10	Toulouse	12	7	1	4	+8	22
11	Caen	11	6	2	3	-3	20
12	Bordeaux	13	5	4	4	-4	19
13	Metz	11	5	3	3	-5	18
14	Dijon	12	4	5	3	+4	17
15	Angers	12	4	5	3	+1	17
16	Lille	12	5	2	5	-1	17
17	Lorient	12	5	2	5	-4	17
18	Nancy	11	5	1	5	+1	16
19	Bastia	12	3	6	3	+1	15
20	Nantes	12	3	3	6	-12	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	9	0	4	+10	27
2	Monaco	12	7	3	2	+16	24
3	Nice	11	5	4	2	+2	19
4	Bordeaux	12	4	5	3	+2	17
5	Lyon	12	5	1	6	+4	16
6	Nantes	11	4	2	5	-4	14
7	St Etienne	12	3	4	5	-1	13
8	Metz	12	3	2	7	-10	11
9	Nancy	12	2	5	5	-12	11
10	Guingamp	13	2	4	7	-6	10
11	Lille	12	2	3	7	-7	9
12	Marseille	12	2	3	7	-10	9
13	Toulouse	12	1	5	6	-8	8
14	Rennes	12	1	5	6	-12	8
15	Dijon	12	1	4	7	-9	7
16	Bastia	11	2	1	8	-9	7
17	Angers	12	2	1	9	-14	7
18	Caen	12	1	2	9	-12	5
19	Lorient	12	1	2	9	-16	5
20	Montpellier	12	0	4	8	-19	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.