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Pro League
Referee: Christof Dierick
1–2
Full-time
Oostende
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 25/16 matches
Win Ø 42%
20%
63%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
60%
81%
Both score Ø 56%
48%
63%
Average goals
2,8
3,4
Scored
0,9
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

6 Corners 3
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 16. · Oostende 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 26 12 5 9 +2 41
2 Waregem 17 12 3 2 +16 39
3 Club Brugge 16 12 2 2 +27 38
4 Mechelen 25 11 5 9 +2 38
5 Anderlecht 17 11 4 2 +26 37
6 Standard 25 9 9 7 +9 36
7 Oostende 16 10 2 4 +15 32
8 Kortrijk 25 8 6 11 -11 30
9 Gent 15 8 3 4 +8 27
10 Charleroi 15 7 5 3 +4 26
11 Lokeren 25 6 8 11 -7 26
12 St Truiden 26 7 5 14 -10 26
13 Beveren 25 5 9 11 -12 24
14 Westerlo 25 5 7 13 -22 22
15 Eupen 25 5 6 14 -24 21
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 25 5 3 17 -23 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Oostende
1–0 D. Matulevičius
S. Diédhiou
23′
34′
L. Dimata 1–1
Fernando Canesin
39′
🟨 Franck Berrier
Half-time 1–1
Deivydas Matulevicius 🟨
57′
62′
🔁 S. Siani
↦ Fernando Canesin
Thibault Peyre 🟨
71′
D. Mohamed 🔁
↦ F. Marković
72′
N. Kabasele 🔁
↦ Trézéguet
78′
80′
🔁 H. Özkan
↦ A. Jali
84′
🔁 N. Pedersen
↦ L. Dimata
89′
D. Rozehnal 1–2
A. Marušić
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

21 M. Delač G
28 J. Huyghebaert D
36 D. Arslanagic D
23 M. Tirpan D
29 T. Peyre D
27 M. Vojvoda D
5 D. Hubert M
10 Trézéguet M
99 D. Matulevičius F
7 F. Marković M
20 S. Diédhiou F
Bench (7)
11 D. Mohamed
94 N. Kabasele
18 F. Miya
22 L. Stojanović
26 A. Nkaka
33 T. Defourmy
34 S. Simič

Coach: M. Rednic

Oostende

28 W. Dutoît G
18 D. Rozehnal D
44 A. Milić D
31 B. Godeau D
10 F. Berrier M
15 A. Jali M
26 K. Vandendriessche D
55 Fernando Canesin F
77 A. Marušić M
8 Y. El Ghanassy M
19 L. Dimata F
Bench (7)
7 S. Siani
36 H. Özkan
14 N. Pedersen
4 F. Antunes
12 D. Ovono
17 J. Akpala
33 Ž. Tomašević

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Christof Dierick · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.