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Premier League
Referee: Mike Jones
West Ham
S U S T U
2–1
Full-time
West Brom
U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Ham West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — Premier League · 20/21 matches
Win Ø 15%
20%
10%
Points per game
0,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
60%
33%
Both score Ø 47%
45%
48%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,1
0,7
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
13 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Ham 18. · West Brom 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 21 19 2 0 +49 59
2 Man United 22 14 5 3 +29 47
3 Chelsea 21 14 3 4 +25 45
4 Liverpool 22 12 8 2 +25 44
5 Arsenal 21 11 5 5 +12 38
6 Tottenham 20 11 4 5 +19 37
7 Burnley 22 9 7 6 +0 34
8 Leicester 22 8 6 8 +2 30
9 Everton 22 7 6 9 -9 27
10 Watford 21 7 4 10 -7 25
11 Huddersfield 22 6 6 10 -17 24
12 Brighton 22 5 8 9 -10 23
13 Newcastle 22 6 4 12 -10 22
14 Bournemouth 22 5 6 11 -12 21
15 Southampton 21 4 8 9 -10 20
16 Stoke 22 5 5 12 -24 20
17 Crystal Palace 21 4 7 10 -14 19
18 West Ham 20 4 6 10 -16 18
19 West Brom 21 2 10 9 -13 16
20 Swansea 21 4 4 13 -19 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Ham West Brom
Manuel Lanzini 🟨
6′
30′
J. McClean 0–1
S. Rondón
Arthur Masuaku 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
M. Noble 🔁
↦ Pedro Obiang
46′
1–1 A. Carroll
A. Cresswell
59′
Andy Carroll 🟨
61′
64′
🔁 H. Robson-Kanu
↦ J. Livermore
71′
🔁 O. Burke
↦ J. Rodriguez
Javier Hernández 🔁
↦ A. Masuaku
73′
74′
🟨 Claudio Yacob
D. Rice 🔁
↦ A. Cresswell
76′
83′
🔁 G. Barry
↦ C. Yacob
90′
🟨 Grzegorz Krychowiak
2–1 A. Carroll
M. Arnautović
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

West Ham

3-4-2-1
13 Adrián G
5 P. Zabaleta M
21 A. Ogbonna D
2 W. Reid D
3 A. Cresswell D
26 A. Masuaku M
8 C. Kouyaté M
14 Pedro Obiang M
10 M. Lanzini F
9 A. Carroll F
7 M. Arnautović F
Bench (7)
16 M. Noble
17 Javier Hernández
41 D. Rice
20 A. Ayew
23 S. Haksabanovic
25 J. Hart
36 Domingos Quina

Coach: D. Moyes

West Brom

4-2-3-1
1 B. Foster G
6 J. Evans D
3 K. Gibbs D
25 C. Dawson D
26 Ahmed Hegazi D
5 C. Yacob M
8 J. Livermore M
14 J. McClean M
20 G. Krychowiak M
19 J. Rodriguez M
9 S. Rondón F
Bench (7)
4 H. Robson-Kanu
17 O. Burke
18 G. Barry
11 C. Brunt
13 G. Myhill
23 G. McAuley
28 S. Field

Coach: A. Pardew

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mike Jones · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.