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Premier League

Referee: Stuart Attwell

Southampton

T T U T U

1–2

Full-time

Crystal Palace

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Southampton Crystal Palace

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,5

This season — Premier League · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 19%

19%

Points per game

1,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

38%

52%

Both score Ø 45%

52%

38%

Average goals

2,4

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

10 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Southampton 15. · Crystal Palace 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	21	19	2	0	+49	59
2	Man United	22	14	5	3	+29	47
3	Chelsea	21	14	3	4	+25	45
4	Liverpool	22	12	8	2	+25	44
5	Arsenal	21	11	5	5	+12	38
6	Tottenham	20	11	4	5	+19	37
7	Burnley	22	9	7	6	+0	34
8	Leicester	22	8	6	8	+2	30
9	Everton	22	7	6	9	-9	27
10	Watford	21	7	4	10	-7	25
11	Huddersfield	22	6	6	10	-17	24
12	Brighton	22	5	8	9	-10	23
13	Newcastle	22	6	4	12	-10	22
14	Bournemouth	22	5	6	11	-12	21
15	Southampton	21	4	8	9	-10	20
16	Stoke	22	5	5	12	-24	20
17	Crystal Palace	21	4	7	10	-14	19
18	West Ham	20	4	6	10	-16	18
19	West Brom	21	2	10	9	-13	16
20	Swansea	21	4	4	13	-19	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	10	9	1	0	+29	28
2	Man United	11	8	2	1	+19	26
3	Arsenal	10	8	1	1	+15	25
4	Chelsea	11	8	1	2	+14	25
5	Liverpool	11	6	5	0	+17	23
6	Tottenham	10	6	3	1	+13	21
7	Everton	11	6	1	4	+2	19
8	Leicester	11	5	2	4	+2	17
9	Burnley	11	5	2	4	+0	17
10	Huddersfield	11	4	4	3	-2	16
11	Brighton	11	3	6	2	-2	15
12	Stoke	11	4	2	5	-7	14
13	Southampton	11	3	4	4	-2	13
14	Crystal Palace	11	3	4	4	-4	13
15	Bournemouth	11	3	3	5	-3	12
16	Watford	11	3	3	5	-9	12
17	West Ham	9	3	2	4	-4	11
18	Newcastle	11	3	2	6	-4	11
19	West Brom	11	1	7	3	-5	10
20	Swansea	10	2	2	6	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	11	10	1	0	+20	31
2	Man United	11	6	3	2	+10	21
3	Liverpool	11	6	3	2	+8	21
4	Chelsea	10	6	2	2	+11	20
5	Burnley	11	4	5	2	+0	17
6	Tottenham	10	5	1	4	+6	16
7	Watford	10	4	1	5	+2	13
8	Leicester	11	3	4	4	+0	13
9	Arsenal	11	3	4	4	-3	13
10	Newcastle	11	3	2	6	-6	11
11	Bournemouth	11	2	3	6	-9	9
12	Brighton	11	2	2	7	-8	8
13	Swansea	11	2	2	7	-10	8
14	Everton	11	1	5	5	-11	8
15	Huddersfield	11	2	2	7	-15	8
16	Southampton	10	1	4	5	-8	7
17	West Ham	11	1	4	6	-12	7
18	West Brom	10	1	3	6	-8	6
19	Crystal Palace	10	1	3	6	-10	6
20	Stoke	11	1	3	7	-17	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.