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Premier League
Referee: Robert Madley
Swansea
T T U T S
0–2
Full-time
Tottenham
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
4,2
Scored
0,8
2,8
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,5
This season — Premier League · 21/20 matches
Win Ø 37%
19%
55%
Points per game
0,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
43%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,1
3,0
Scored
0,6
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

32% Possession 68%
8 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Swansea 20. · Tottenham 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 21 19 2 0 +49 59
2 Man United 22 14 5 3 +29 47
3 Chelsea 21 14 3 4 +25 45
4 Liverpool 22 12 8 2 +25 44
5 Arsenal 21 11 5 5 +12 38
6 Tottenham 20 11 4 5 +19 37
7 Burnley 22 9 7 6 +0 34
8 Leicester 22 8 6 8 +2 30
9 Everton 22 7 6 9 -9 27
10 Watford 21 7 4 10 -7 25
11 Huddersfield 22 6 6 10 -17 24
12 Brighton 22 5 8 9 -10 23
13 Newcastle 22 6 4 12 -10 22
14 Bournemouth 22 5 6 11 -12 21
15 Southampton 21 4 8 9 -10 20
16 Stoke 22 5 5 12 -24 20
17 Crystal Palace 21 4 7 10 -14 19
18 West Ham 20 4 6 10 -16 18
19 West Brom 21 2 10 9 -13 16
20 Swansea 21 4 4 13 -19 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Swansea Tottenham
Martin Olsson 🟨
10′
12′
Llorente 0–1
C. Eriksen
31′
🟨 Davinson Sánchez
Half-time 0–1
L. Narsingh 🔁
↦ Àngel Rangel
53′
59′
🔁 V. Wanyama
↦ D. Sánchez
64′
🟨 Érik Lamela
68′
🔁 H. Kane
↦ Llorente
O. McBurnie 🔁
↦ N. Dyer
70′
77′
🔁 M. Sissoko
↦ E. Lamela
W. Routledge 🔁
↦ T. Carroll
78′
Mike Van der Hoorn 🟨
79′
89′
D. Alli 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Swansea

5-3-2
1 Ł. Fabiański G
16 Martin Olsson D
22 Àngel Rangel D
33 F. Fernández D
5 M. van der Hoorn D
6 A. Mawson D
12 N. Dyer F
17 S. Clucas M
14 T. Carroll M
35 Renato Sanches M
18 J. Ayew F
Bench (7)
11 L. Narsingh
62 O. McBurnie
15 W. Routledge
8 L. Fer
13 K. Nordfeldt
27 K. Bartley
51 Roque Mesa

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Tottenham

4-2-3-1
1 H. Lloris G
5 J. Vertonghen D
2 K. Trippier D
33 B. Davies D
6 D. Sánchez D
11 E. Lamela M
23 C. Eriksen M
20 D. Alli M
15 E. Dier M
18 Llorente F
7 Son Heung-Min M
Bench (7)
12 V. Wanyama
10 H. Kane
17 M. Sissoko
13 M. Vorm
24 S. Aurier
29 H. Winks
37 K. Walker-Peters

Coach: M. Pochettino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Robert Madley · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.