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Premier League

Referee: Michael Oliver

Crystal Palace

U S S S S

0–2

Full-time

Liverpool

U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Liverpool

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

2,3

2,2

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,7

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

2,0

4,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

36% Possession 64%

8 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 7

2 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Crystal Palace 8. · Liverpool 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Chelsea	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Watford	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Bournemouth	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Everton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Leicester	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Man United	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Brighton	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Newcastle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Wolves	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Burnley	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Cardiff	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Arsenal	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Fulham	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Huddersfield	2	0	0	2	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Watford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Watford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Everton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Brighton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.