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La Liga
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Valencia
U U T S S
1–1
Full-time
Ath Madrid
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
1,7
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 10
0 Offside 6
10 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Levante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Celta 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Espanol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Girona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Valladolid 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Villarreal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Getafe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
14 Vallecano 1 0 0 1 -3 0
15 Alaves 1 0 0 1 -3 0
16 Betis 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Feb -18 Ath Madrid – Valencia 1–0 9. Sep -17 Valencia – Ath Madrid 0–0 5. Mar -17 Ath Madrid – Valencia 3–0 2. Oct -16 Valencia – Ath Madrid 0–2 6. Mar -16 Valencia – Ath Madrid 1–3

Match report

Valencia Ath Madrid
13′
🟨 Stefan Savić
26′
⚽ Á. Correa 0–1
A. Griezmann
Ezequiel Garay 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
52′
🟨 Juanfran
1–1 Rodrigo ⚽
D. Wass
56′
63′
🟨 Filipe Luís
63′
🔁 Vitolo
↦ T. Lemar
K. Gameiro 🔁
↦ Santi Mina
67′
M. Diakhaby 🔁
↦ E. Garay
67′
Rodrigo 🟨
70′
72′
🔁 Gelson Martins
↦ A. Griezmann
M. Batshuayi 🔁
↦ Carlos Soler
76′
81′
🔁 T. Partey
↦ Á. Correa
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Valencia

4-4-2
13 Neto G
24 E. Garay D
5 Gabriel Paulista D
21 C. Piccini D
14 José Gayá D
18 D. Wass M
10 Dani Parejo M
6 G. Kondogbia M
8 Carlos Soler M
19 Rodrigo F
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (7)
9 K. Gameiro
12 M. Diakhaby
23 M. Batshuayi
1 Jaume Doménech
11 D. Cheryshev
15 Toni Lato
20 Ferrán Torres

Coach: Marcelino

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
20 Juanfran D
3 Filipe Luis D
2 D. Godín D
15 S. Savić D
8 Saúl M
6 Koke M
11 T. Lemar M
19 Diego Costa F
7 A. Griezmann F
10 Á. Correa M
Bench (7)
23 Vitolo
18 Gelson Martins
5 T. Partey
1 Adán
9 N. Kalinić
14 Rodri Hernández
24 J. Giménez

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.