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La Liga
Referee: Adrian Cordero Vega
Ath Bilbao
T T S T T
2–1
Full-time
Leganes
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

66% Possession 34%
17 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Levante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Celta 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Espanol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Valencia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Ath Madrid 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Girona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Valladolid 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Villarreal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Getafe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Vallecano 1 0 0 1 -3 0
17 Alaves 1 0 0 1 -3 0
18 Betis 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Mar -18 Ath Bilbao – Leganes 2–0 22. Oct -17 Leganes – Ath Bilbao 1–0 14. May -17 Ath Bilbao – Leganes 1–1 14. Jan -17 Leganes – Ath Bilbao 0–0

Match report

Ath Bilbao Leganes
Yeray Álvarez 🟨
17′
1–0 Peru Nolaskoain ⚽
Susaeta
27′
33′
⚽ J. Silva 1–1
41′
🟨 Raúl García
Half-time 1–1
Yuri Berchiche 🟨
53′
55′
🟨 Guido Carrillo
58′
🔁 Michael Santos
↦ Eraso
Ander Capa 🔁
↦ De Marcos
65′
65′
🔁 Dani Ojeda
↦ N. El Zhar
Iñigo Córdoba 🔁
↦ Aduriz
70′
76′
🟨 Gerard Gumbau
Raúl García 🔁
↦ Unai López
76′
Raúl García 🟨
78′
81′
🟨 Jonathan Silva
85′
🔁 Y. En-Nesyri
↦ G. Carrillo
88′
🟨 Michael Santos
Iker Muniain 🟨
90′
2–1 Muniain ⚽
Raúl García
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-3-3
25 Unai Simón G
18 De Marcos D
12 Yuri D
5 Yeray Álvarez D
14 Susaeta M
16 Dani García M
23 Unai López M
31 Peru Nolaskoain M
20 Aduriz F
10 Muniain F
9 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
21 Ander Capa
11 Iñigo Córdoba
22 Raúl García
3 Unai Núñez
8 Iturraspe
26 Hodei Oleaga
30 Gorka Guruzeta

Coach: E. Berizzo

Leganes

4-4-1-1
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
22 D. Siovas D
19 E. Muñoz D
2 Juanfran D
5 J. Silva D
14 Raúl García D
10 N. El Zhar M
21 Rubén Pérez M
17 Eraso M
6 Gerard Gumbau M
9 G. Carrillo F
Bench (7)
20 Michael Santos
7 Dani Ojeda
26 Y. En-Nesyri
3 Bustinza
12 A. Nyom
13 Serantes
27 Óscar Rodríguez

Coach: M. Pellegrino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Adrian Cordero Vega · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.