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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Stromsgodset
U T S T T
0–4
Full-time
Molde
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
0,7
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
This season — Eliteserien · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 43%
18%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
45%
67%
Both score Ø 57%
55%
58%
Average goals
2,6
3,3
Scored
1,1
2,3
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

56% Possession 44%
6 Shots 9
0 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 15. · Molde 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 12 8 1 3 +16 25
2 Odd 10 7 1 2 +7 22
3 Bodo/Glimt 10 6 2 2 +8 20
4 Brann 12 5 3 4 +1 18
5 Kristiansund 11 5 3 3 +1 18
6 Viking 10 5 2 3 +2 17
7 Valerenga 11 5 2 4 +1 17
8 Haugesund 11 4 4 3 +7 16
9 Rosenborg 11 4 3 4 -3 15
10 Ranheim 11 4 1 6 -4 13
11 Lillestrom 11 3 3 5 -7 12
12 Sarpsborg 08 10 2 4 4 -2 10
13 Mjondalen 11 2 4 5 -6 10
14 Tromso 11 3 1 7 -8 10
15 Stromsgodset 11 2 3 6 -5 9
16 Stabaek 9 2 1 6 -8 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Molde
9′
Martin Ellingsen 0–1
Martin Bjornbak
12′
🟨 Vegard Forren
15′
Leke James 0–2
Magnus Eikrem
25′
Leke James 0–3
29′
Leke James 0–4
Magnus Eikrem
Half-time 0–4
Muhammed Keita 🟨
58′
Stian Ringstad 🔁
↦ Jonathan Parr
59′
60′
🔁 Fredrik Sjolstad
↦ Martin Bjornbak
Martin Spelmann 🟨
67′
Mostafa Abdellaoue 🔁
↦ Sebastian Pedersen
70′
Johan Hove 🔁
↦ Martin Spelmann
70′
71′
🟨 Fredrik Sjolstad
78′
🔁 Etzaz Hussain
↦ Magnus Eikrem
82′
🔁 Ohi Omoijuanfo
↦ Leke James
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-3-3
1 Viljar Myhra G
26 Lars Christopher Vilsvik D
5 Jakob Glesnes D
2 Mounir Hamoud D
3 Jonathan Parr D
23 Martin Spelmann M
18 Martin Ovenstad M
7 Herman Stengel M
90 Amahl Pellegrino F
9 Sebastian Pedersen F
77 Muhammed Keita F
Bench (7)
40 Morten Saetra
25 Stian Ringstad
39 Lars Saetra
19 Halldor Stenevik
8 Johan Hove
6 Henning Hauger
30 Mostafa Abdellaoue

Coach: H. Pedersen

Molde

4-4-2
12 Alexandro Craninx G
14 Erling Knudtzon D
2 Martin Bjornbak D
5 Vegard Forren D
28 Kristoffer Haugen D
19 Eirik Hestad M
17 Fredrik Aursnes M
11 Martin Ellingsen M
9 Mattias Mostrom M
7 Magnus Eikrem F
10 Leke James F
Bench (7)
52 Oliver Petersen
22 Christoffer Remmer
45 Emil Breivik
3 Christopher Telo
8 Fredrik Sjolstad
16 Etzaz Hussain
99 Ohi Omoijuanfo

Coach: E. Moe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.