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Eliteserien
Referee: Trygve Kjensli
Stromsgodset
U T T U T
3–1
Full-time
Tromso
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,2
This season — Eliteserien · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 13%
13%
13%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 69%
63%
75%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

38% Possession 62%
20 Shots 13
9 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 4
24 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 14. · Tromso 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 9 6 1 2 +11 19
2 Odd 8 6 1 1 +6 19
3 Bodo/Glimt 8 5 2 1 +7 17
4 Valerenga 9 5 2 2 +7 17
5 Kristiansund 9 5 1 3 +1 16
6 Viking 8 4 2 2 +4 14
7 Brann 9 4 2 3 +1 14
8 Haugesund 8 3 2 3 +4 11
9 Mjondalen 8 2 3 3 -2 9
10 Lillestrom 8 2 3 3 -5 9
11 Sarpsborg 08 8 1 4 3 -2 7
12 Ranheim 8 2 1 5 -5 7
13 Stabaek 8 2 1 5 -7 7
14 Stromsgodset 8 1 3 4 -4 6
15 Rosenborg 8 1 3 4 -8 6
16 Tromso 8 1 1 6 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Tromso
23′
Kent-Are Antonsen 0–1
Anders Jenssen
1–1 Yacouba Sylla
25′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Martin Ovenstad
Stian Ringstad
47′
Martin Ovenstad 🟨
55′
Sebastian Pedersen 🔁
↦ Martin Spelmann
56′
66′
🔁 Sigurd Grønli
↦ Magnus Andersen
Johan Hove 🔁
↦ Herman Stengel
77′
77′
🔁 August Mikkelsen
↦ Lasse Nilsen
Henning Hauger 🔁
↦ Martin Ovenstad
80′
85′
🔁 Brayan Rojas
↦ Marcus Pedersen
Stian Ringstad 🟨
89′
3–1 Johan Hove
90′
Sebastian Pedersen 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-1-4-1
1 Viljar Myhra G
26 Lars Christopher Vilsvik D
5 Jakob Glesnes D
39 Lars Saetra D
25 Stian Ringstad D
29 Yacouba Sylla M
23 Martin Spelmann M
18 Martin Ovenstad M
7 Herman Stengel M
90 Amahl Pellegrino M
30 Mostafa Abdellaoue F
Bench (7)
40 Morten Saetra
2 Mounir Hamoud
6 Henning Hauger
8 Johan Hove
19 Halldor Stenevik
10 Marcus Pedersen
9 Sebastian Pedersen

Coach: B. Ingebretsen

Tromso

4-4-2
1 Gudmund Kongshavn G
19 Marcus Pedersen D
5 Anders Jenssen D
3 Kent-Are Antonsen D
6 Juha Pirinen D
18 Onni Valakari M
7 Morten Gamst Pedersen M
15 Magnus Andersen M
25 Lasse Nilsen M
11 Robert Taylor F
30 Runar Espejord F
Bench (7)
31 Erlend Jacobsen
9 Brayan Rojas
8 Oliver Kjaergaard
14 August Mikkelsen
34 Tomas Stabell
42 Mushaga Bakenga
16 Sigurd Grønli

Coach: S. Valakari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Trygve Kjensli · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.