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Eliteserien
Referee: Kai Erik Steen
Kristiansund
S U U T T
5–2
Full-time
Lillestrom
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kristiansund Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 35%
38%
31%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
23%
46%
Both score Ø 31%
31%
31%
Average goals
1,9
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 4
6 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kristiansund 8. · Lillestrom 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 14 9 2 3 +20 29
2 Bodo/Glimt 12 8 2 2 +12 26
3 Odd 12 8 1 3 +6 25
4 Brann 14 6 4 4 +2 22
5 Valerenga 13 6 3 4 +4 21
6 Rosenborg 14 6 3 5 -2 21
7 Viking 12 5 3 4 +1 18
8 Kristiansund 13 5 3 5 -1 18
9 Haugesund 13 4 4 5 +2 16
10 Lillestrom 13 4 3 6 -4 15
11 Ranheim 14 4 3 7 -5 15
12 Tromso 13 4 1 8 -11 13
13 Sarpsborg 08 12 2 6 4 -2 12
14 Mjondalen 13 2 6 5 -6 12
15 Stabaek 11 3 2 6 -7 11
16 Stromsgodset 13 2 4 7 -9 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kristiansund Lillestrom
1–0 Liridon Kalludra ⚽
Christoffer Aasbak
6′
2–0 Christophe Psyche ⚽
Flamur Kastrati
23′
3–0 Bendik Bye ⚽
Flamur Kastrati
35′
40′
⚽ Aleksander Melgalvis 3–1
Half-time 3–1
Bent Sormo 🔁
↦ Liridon Kalludra
46′
46′
🔁 Moses Ebiye
↦ Daniel Gustavsson
4–1 Flamur Kastrati ⚽
Torgil Owre Gjertsen
60′
64′
🔁 Alex Dyer
↦ Arnór Smárason
Amidou Diop 🟨
70′
Thomas Amang 🔁
↦ Flamur Kastrati
70′
73′
⚽ Moses Ebiye 4–2
Aleksander Melgalvis
Sean McDermott 🟨
76′
Aliou Coly 🟨
79′
79′
🟨 Kristoffer Odemarksbakken
81′
🔁 Erik Brenden
↦ Kristoffer Odemarksbakken
Sondre Sorlie 🔁
↦ Aliou Coly
83′
5–2 Christophe Psyche ⚽
90′
Thomas Amang 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Frode Kippe
90′
🟨 Phillip Alexander Kolberg Slordahl
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Kristiansund

4-3-3
1 Sean McDermott G
19 Aliou Coly D
5 Dan Peter Ulvestad D
4 Christophe Psyche D
3 Christoffer Aasbak D
23 Pal Erik Ulvestad M
21 Amidou Diop M
10 Liridon Kalludra M
13 Bendik Bye F
11 Flamur Kastrati F
7 Torgil Owre Gjertsen F
Bench (7)
30 Serigne Mor Mbaye
25 Henrik Gjesdal
24 Sondre Sorlie
8 Haris Cirak
22 Bent Sormo
16 Meinhard Olsen
20 Thomas Amang

Coach: C. Michelsen

Lillestrom

4-4-1-1
1 Marko Maric G
2 Mats Haakenstad D
42 Phillip Alexander Kolberg Slordahl D
13 Frode Kippe D
5 Simen Rafn D
33 Aleksander Melgalvis M
23 Daniel Alexander Pedersen M
14 Fredrik Krogstad M
17 Kristoffer Odemarksbakken M
88 Arnór Smárason F
7 Daniel Gustavsson F
Bench (6)
40 Mads Christiansen
27 Josef Baccay
21 Alex Dyer
19 Sheriff Sinyan
15 Erik Brenden
18 Moses Ebiye

Coach: J. Lennartsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Kai Erik Steen · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.