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Eliteserien
Referee: Kai Erik Steen
Kristiansund
S U U T T
5–2
Full-time
Lillestrom
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kristiansund Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 35%
38%
31%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
23%
46%
Both score Ø 31%
31%
31%
Average goals
1,9
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 4
6 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kristiansund 8. · Lillestrom 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 14 9 2 3 +20 29
2 Bodo/Glimt 12 8 2 2 +12 26
3 Odd 12 8 1 3 +6 25
4 Brann 14 6 4 4 +2 22
5 Valerenga 13 6 3 4 +4 21
6 Rosenborg 14 6 3 5 -2 21
7 Viking 12 5 3 4 +1 18
8 Kristiansund 13 5 3 5 -1 18
9 Haugesund 13 4 4 5 +2 16
10 Lillestrom 13 4 3 6 -4 15
11 Ranheim 14 4 3 7 -5 15
12 Tromso 13 4 1 8 -11 13
13 Sarpsborg 08 12 2 6 4 -2 12
14 Mjondalen 13 2 6 5 -6 12
15 Stabaek 11 3 2 6 -7 11
16 Stromsgodset 13 2 4 7 -9 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kristiansund Lillestrom
1–0 Liridon Kalludra
Christoffer Aasbak
6′
2–0 Christophe Psyche
Flamur Kastrati
23′
3–0 Bendik Bye
Flamur Kastrati
35′
40′
Aleksander Melgalvis 3–1
Half-time 3–1
Bent Sormo 🔁
↦ Liridon Kalludra
46′
46′
🔁 Moses Ebiye
↦ Daniel Gustavsson
4–1 Flamur Kastrati
Torgil Owre Gjertsen
60′
64′
🔁 Alex Dyer
↦ Arnór Smárason
Amidou Diop 🟨
70′
Thomas Amang 🔁
↦ Flamur Kastrati
70′
73′
Moses Ebiye 4–2
Aleksander Melgalvis
Sean McDermott 🟨
76′
Aliou Coly 🟨
79′
79′
🟨 Kristoffer Odemarksbakken
81′
🔁 Erik Brenden
↦ Kristoffer Odemarksbakken
Sondre Sorlie 🔁
↦ Aliou Coly
83′
5–2 Christophe Psyche
90′
Thomas Amang 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Frode Kippe
90′
🟨 Phillip Alexander Kolberg Slordahl
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Kristiansund

4-3-3
1 Sean McDermott G
19 Aliou Coly D
5 Dan Peter Ulvestad D
4 Christophe Psyche D
3 Christoffer Aasbak D
23 Pal Erik Ulvestad M
21 Amidou Diop M
10 Liridon Kalludra M
13 Bendik Bye F
11 Flamur Kastrati F
7 Torgil Owre Gjertsen F
Bench (7)
30 Serigne Mor Mbaye
25 Henrik Gjesdal
24 Sondre Sorlie
8 Haris Cirak
22 Bent Sormo
16 Meinhard Olsen
20 Thomas Amang

Coach: C. Michelsen

Lillestrom

4-4-1-1
1 Marko Maric G
2 Mats Haakenstad D
42 Phillip Alexander Kolberg Slordahl D
13 Frode Kippe D
5 Simen Rafn D
33 Aleksander Melgalvis M
23 Daniel Alexander Pedersen M
14 Fredrik Krogstad M
17 Kristoffer Odemarksbakken M
88 Arnór Smárason F
7 Daniel Gustavsson F
Bench (6)
40 Mads Christiansen
27 Josef Baccay
21 Alex Dyer
19 Sheriff Sinyan
15 Erik Brenden
18 Moses Ebiye

Coach: J. Lennartsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kai Erik Steen · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.