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Eliteserien

Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen

Valerenga

U S U S S

0–3

Full-time

Lillestrom

S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

2,3

0,7

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-1,3

This season — Eliteserien · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

56%

22%

Points per game

1,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

33%

44%

Both score Ø 50%

56%

44%

Average goals

3,0

2,4

Scored

1,9

0,8

Conceded

1,1

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%

11 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 1

3 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valerenga 3. · Lillestrom 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	10	7	1	2	+15	22
2	Odd	9	7	1	1	+9	22
3	Valerenga	9	5	2	2	+7	17
4	Bodo/Glimt	9	5	2	2	+6	17
5	Brann	10	5	2	3	+2	17
6	Kristiansund	10	5	2	3	+1	17
7	Viking	9	4	2	3	+0	14
8	Haugesund	9	3	3	3	+4	12
9	Ranheim	9	3	1	5	-3	10
10	Stromsgodset	9	2	3	4	-2	9
11	Mjondalen	9	2	3	4	-3	9
12	Rosenborg	9	2	3	4	-7	9
13	Lillestrom	9	2	3	4	-8	9
14	Sarpsborg 08	9	1	4	4	-4	7
15	Stabaek	8	2	1	5	-7	7
16	Tromso	9	1	1	7	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	5	5	0	0	+14	15
2	Odd	5	5	0	0	+6	15
3	Valerenga	4	4	0	0	+8	12
4	Bodo/Glimt	5	3	1	1	+6	10
5	Viking	4	3	1	0	+6	10
6	Kristiansund	4	3	1	0	+4	10
7	Brann	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Rosenborg	5	2	2	1	+0	8
9	Stabaek	4	2	1	1	+3	7
10	Stromsgodset	5	2	1	2	+1	7
11	Lillestrom	5	2	1	2	-3	7
12	Haugesund	5	1	3	1	+2	6
13	Mjondalen	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Sarpsborg 08	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Ranheim	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Tromso	4	0	0	4	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	5	3	0	2	+1	9
2	Odd	4	2	1	1	+3	7
3	Molde	5	2	1	2	+1	7
4	Ranheim	5	2	1	2	+1	7
5	Bodo/Glimt	4	2	1	1	+0	7
6	Kristiansund	6	2	1	3	-3	7
7	Haugesund	4	2	0	2	+2	6
8	Valerenga	5	1	2	2	-1	5
9	Mjondalen	5	1	1	3	-3	4
10	Tromso	5	1	1	3	-5	4
11	Viking	5	1	1	3	-6	4
12	Sarpsborg 08	4	0	2	2	-2	2
13	Stromsgodset	4	0	2	2	-3	2
14	Lillestrom	4	0	2	2	-5	2
15	Rosenborg	4	0	1	3	-7	1
16	Stabaek	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.