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Eliteserien
Referee: Espen Eskas
Lillestrom
U T S T T
4–0
Full-time
Tromso
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 29%
25%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
42%
58%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 39%
16 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 7
3 Offside 3
21 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 12. · Tromso 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 13 9 1 3 +20 28
2 Odd 11 8 1 2 +9 25
3 Bodo/Glimt 11 7 2 2 +9 23
4 Brann 13 6 3 4 +2 21
5 Valerenga 12 5 3 4 +1 18
6 Kristiansund 13 5 3 5 -1 18
7 Rosenborg 13 5 3 5 -3 18
8 Viking 11 5 2 4 +1 17
9 Haugesund 12 4 4 4 +5 16
10 Ranheim 12 4 2 6 -4 14
11 Tromso 12 4 1 7 -7 13
12 Lillestrom 12 3 3 6 -8 12
13 Sarpsborg 08 11 2 5 4 -2 11
14 Mjondalen 12 2 5 5 -6 11
15 Stabaek 10 3 1 6 -7 10
16 Stromsgodset 12 2 3 7 -9 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Tromso
1–0 Tobias Salquist
Arnór Smárason
15′
2–0 Aleksander Melgalvis
Arnór Smárason
23′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Daniel Berntsen
↦ Juha Pirinen
46′
🔁 Mikael Ingebrigtsen
↦ Morten Gamst Pedersen
Daniel Gustavsson 🟨
48′
Alex Dyer 🔁
↦ Arnór Smárason
60′
Aleksander Melgalvis 🟨
64′
3–0 Daniel Gustavsson
Daniel Alexander Pedersen
65′
66′
🟨 Daniel Berntsen
Fredrik Krogstad 🟨
67′
69′
🔁 Brayan Rojas
↦ Robert Taylor
Moses Ebiye 🔁
↦ Daniel Gustavsson
73′
4–0 Kristoffer Odemarksbakken
78′
Erik Brenden 🔁
↦ Aleksander Melgalvis
79′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-4-2
1 Marko Maric G
2 Mats Haakenstad D
4 Tobias Salquist D
13 Frode Kippe D
5 Simen Rafn D
33 Aleksander Melgalvis M
14 Fredrik Krogstad M
23 Daniel Alexander Pedersen M
17 Kristoffer Odemarksbakken M
7 Daniel Gustavsson F
88 Arnór Smárason F
Bench (7)
40 Mads Christiansen
42 Phillip Alexander Kolberg Slordahl
27 Josef Baccay
15 Erik Brenden
21 Alex Dyer
19 Sheriff Sinyan
18 Moses Ebiye

Coach: J. Lennartsson

Tromso

3-1-4-2
1 Gudmund Kongshavn G
26 Jostein Gundersen D
22 Simen Wangberg D
3 Kent-Are Antonsen D
7 Morten Gamst Pedersen M
6 Juha Pirinen M
15 Magnus Andersen M
18 Onni Valakari M
25 Lasse Nilsen M
42 Mushaga Bakenga F
11 Robert Taylor F
Bench (6)
28 Jakob Karlstrom
5 Anders Jenssen
10 Mikael Ingebrigtsen
17 Daniel Berntsen
19 Marcus Pedersen
9 Brayan Rojas

Coach: S. Valakari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Espen Eskas · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.