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Championship

Referee: Scott Duncan

Blackburn

T U

1–1

Full-time

Cardiff

U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Cardiff

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

This season — Championship · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Blackburn 18. · Cardiff 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Middlesbrough	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Brentford	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Hull	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Charlton	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Ipswich	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Wolves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Preston	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Milton Keynes Dons	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Sheffield Weds	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Nott'm Forest	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Cardiff	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Burnley	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Leeds	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Derby	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Fulham	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Blackburn	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Reading	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	QPR	2	0	1	1	-2	1
21	Huddersfield	2	0	1	1	-2	1
22	Bolton	2	0	1	1	-3	1
23	Rotherham	2	0	0	2	-4	0
24	Bristol City	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Hull	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Brentford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Bolton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milton Keynes Dons	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Preston	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Blackburn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Charlton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	QPR	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Bolton	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn Cardiff

5′

⚽ J. Mason 0–1

A. Pilkington

42′

🟨 Matthew Connolly

Half-time 0–1

M. Barrow 🔁

↦ F. Koita

46′

53′

🟨 Lee Peltier

61′

🟨 Sean Morrison

D. Guthrie 🔁

↦ A. Henley

63′

65′

🔁 K. Jones

↦ A. Revell

74′

🔁 A. Gunnarsson

↦ K. Dikgacoi

Hope Akpan 🟨

79′

86′

🔁 C. Noone

↦ J. Mason

1–1 G. Hanley ⚽

C. Conway

88′

Shane Duffy 🟨

90′

Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Blackburn

David Raya G

3 T. Spurr D

22 S. Duffy D

G. Hanley D

2 A. Henley D

32 C. Conway M

10 B. Marshall M

21 H. Akpan M

6 J. Lowe M

7 N. Delfouneso F

8 F. Koita F

Bench (7)

31 M. Barrow

23 D. Guthrie

4 M. Kilgallon

14 M. Olsson

17 L. Williamson

18 J. O'Sullivan

30 J. Steele

Cardiff

1 D. Marshall

16 M. Connolly D

2 L. Peltier D

4 S. Morrison D

28 S. Malone D

7 P. Whittingham M

15 K. Dikgacoi

13 A. Pilkington F

8 J. Ralls M

19 A. Revell F

10 J. Mason F

Bench (7)

9 K. Jones

17 A. Gunnarsson

11 C. Noone

3 Fábio

18 E. Doyle

21 S. Moore

38 Sammy Ameobi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

U ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

15. Aug CH 11 years ago

8. Aug CH 11 years ago

Referee

Scott Duncan · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

3,3 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

18,5 / match

Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Blackburn

Cardiff

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee