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Championship

Referee: Rob Lewis

Wolves

T T S S S

3–2

Full-time

Fulham

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Fulham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

This season — Championship · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 30%

36%

24%

Points per game

1,4

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

48%

68%

Both score Ø 64%

52%

76%

Average goals

2,6

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

36% Possession 64%

17 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 5

8 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Wolves 12. · Fulham 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Middlesbrough	25	17	4	4	+25	55
2	Hull	24	14	5	5	+20	47
3	Derby	25	12	10	3	+18	46
4	Burnley	26	12	9	5	+16	45
5	Ipswich	26	12	8	6	+5	44
6	Brighton	25	11	10	4	+4	43
7	Sheffield Weds	25	11	8	6	+9	41
8	Birmingham	26	11	7	8	+3	40
9	Cardiff	25	9	10	6	+4	37
10	Brentford	26	10	6	10	+1	36
11	Reading	26	9	7	10	+2	34
12	Wolves	25	9	7	9	+0	34
13	Preston	26	8	10	8	+0	34
14	Nott'm Forest	26	7	11	8	+1	32
15	Leeds	26	7	11	8	-3	32
16	Huddersfield	26	8	7	11	-1	31
17	QPR	26	7	10	9	-3	31
18	Blackburn	25	6	11	8	+1	29
19	Fulham	25	6	9	10	-3	27
20	Rotherham	26	7	3	16	-12	24
21	Milton Keynes Dons	26	6	5	15	-17	23
22	Bristol City	26	4	9	13	-23	21
23	Charlton	26	4	8	14	-26	20
24	Bolton	26	2	11	13	-21	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Middlesbrough	13	10	2	1	+18	32
2	Hull	11	9	2	0	+18	29
3	Burnley	13	8	3	2	+14	27
4	Sheffield Weds	12	8	3	1	+13	27
5	Derby	13	7	5	1	+15	26
6	Cardiff	13	7	5	1	+8	26
7	Brighton	13	8	2	3	+3	26
8	Reading	13	6	4	3	+7	22
9	Nott'm Forest	13	5	5	3	+5	20
10	Ipswich	13	5	5	3	+3	20
11	Brentford	13	6	2	5	+0	20
12	Birmingham	13	6	2	5	-1	20
13	QPR	13	4	7	2	+5	19
14	Huddersfield	13	5	3	5	+6	18
15	Preston	13	4	6	3	+1	18
16	Rotherham	13	5	2	6	+1	17
17	Blackburn	12	3	7	2	+4	16
18	Fulham	13	4	4	5	+1	16
19	Milton Keynes Dons	13	5	1	7	-7	16
20	Wolves	12	3	5	4	-1	14
21	Bolton	13	2	8	3	-2	14
22	Leeds	13	3	5	5	-4	14
23	Charlton	13	3	5	5	-7	14
24	Bristol City	13	2	5	6	-8	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ipswich	13	7	3	3	+2	24
2	Middlesbrough	12	7	2	3	+7	23
3	Birmingham	13	5	5	3	+4	20
4	Derby	12	5	5	2	+3	20
5	Wolves	13	6	2	5	+1	20
6	Burnley	13	4	6	3	+2	18
7	Hull	13	5	3	5	+2	18
8	Leeds	13	4	6	3	+1	18
9	Brighton	12	3	8	1	+1	17
10	Brentford	13	4	4	5	+1	16
11	Preston	13	4	4	5	-1	16
12	Sheffield Weds	13	3	5	5	-4	14
13	Blackburn	13	3	4	6	-3	13
14	Huddersfield	13	3	4	6	-7	13
15	Nott'm Forest	13	2	6	5	-4	12
16	Reading	13	3	3	7	-5	12
17	QPR	13	3	3	7	-8	12
18	Fulham	12	2	5	5	-4	11
19	Cardiff	12	2	5	5	-4	11
20	Bristol City	13	2	4	7	-15	10
21	Milton Keynes Dons	13	1	4	8	-10	7
22	Rotherham	13	2	1	10	-13	7
23	Charlton	13	1	3	9	-19	6
24	Bolton	13	0	3	10	-19	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.