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Championship
Referee: Steve Martin
Birmingham
U T U S T
1–0
Full-time
Hull
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
1,5
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
0,7
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,5
This season — Championship · 33/31 matches
Win Ø 52%
42%
61%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
33%
29%
Both score Ø 34%
36%
32%
Average goals
2,2
2,1
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
11 Shots 24
3 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Birmingham 8. · Hull 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 34 18 11 5 +26 65
2 Middlesbrough 33 19 7 7 +26 64
3 Hull 31 19 6 6 +31 63
4 Brighton 33 17 11 5 +15 62
5 Derby 33 14 12 7 +13 54
6 Sheffield Weds 32 14 11 7 +15 53
7 Cardiff 34 13 13 8 +7 52
8 Birmingham 33 14 9 10 +7 51
9 Ipswich 33 14 9 10 +1 51
10 Preston 34 12 12 10 +1 48
11 QPR 34 10 14 10 +1 44
12 Reading 33 11 10 12 +2 43
13 Wolves 34 11 10 13 -5 43
14 Brentford 34 12 7 15 -6 43
15 Nott'm Forest 33 10 12 11 +2 42
16 Blackburn 33 9 13 11 +2 40
17 Huddersfield 34 10 9 15 -2 39
18 Leeds 33 8 14 11 -9 38
19 Bristol City 34 9 10 15 -22 37
20 Fulham 34 8 12 14 -5 36
21 Milton Keynes Dons 34 8 8 18 -20 32
22 Rotherham 34 8 5 21 -21 29
23 Bolton 34 4 13 17 -24 25
24 Charlton 34 5 10 19 -35 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Oct -15 Hull – Birmingham 2–0

Match report

Birmingham Hull
1–0 Jon Toral
D. Cotterill
14′
Half-time 1–0
59′
🔁 N. Powell
↦ T. Huddlestone
59′
🔁 A. Diomande
↦ M. Diamé
D. Davis 🔁
↦ D. Cotterill
76′
76′
🔁 Ahmed El Mohamady
↦ M. Odubajo
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Birmingham

29 T. Kuszczak G
4 P. Robinson D
3 J. Grounds D
31 P. Caddis D
28 M. Morrison D
11 D. Cotterill M
8 S. Gleeson M
6 M. Kieftenbeld M
19 J. Maghoma M
20 Jon Toral M
9 C. Donaldson F
Bench (7)
26 D. Davis
1 A. Legzdins
7 D. Fabbrini
17 V. Solomon-Otabor
23 J. Spector
30 W. Buckley
32 R. Shotton

Hull

1 A. McGregor G
21 M. Dawson D
6 C. Davies D
26 A. Robertson D
8 T. Huddlestone M
10 R. Snodgrass M
14 J. Livermore M
17 M. Diamé M
11 S. Clucas M
2 M. Odubajo D
9 A. Hernández F
Bench (7)
22 N. Powell
25 A. Diomande
27 Ahmed El Mohamady
12 H. Maguire
15 S. Maloney
16 E. Jakupovic
20 I. Hayden

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Steve Martin · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.