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Championship

Referee: Rob Lewis

Bristol City

T T T S T

0–0

Full-time

Birmingham

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Birmingham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

0,5

1,7

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,8

This season — Championship · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 32%

18%

46%

Points per game

0,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

43%

36%

Both score Ø 45%

50%

39%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

0,9

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

15 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 0

3 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bristol City 22. · Birmingham 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hull	27	17	5	5	+29	56
2	Middlesbrough	27	17	4	6	+23	55
3	Burnley	28	14	9	5	+21	51
4	Brighton	27	13	10	4	+6	49
5	Derby	27	12	10	5	+12	46
6	Birmingham	28	13	7	8	+9	46
7	Sheffield Weds	27	12	9	6	+11	45
8	Ipswich	28	12	9	7	+2	45
9	Cardiff	28	10	11	7	+4	41
10	Brentford	29	11	7	11	+1	40
11	Nott'm Forest	29	9	12	8	+5	39
12	Wolves	28	10	8	10	-1	38
13	QPR	29	8	12	9	+0	36
14	Leeds	29	8	12	9	-4	36
15	Reading	28	9	8	11	+1	35
16	Preston	28	8	11	9	-2	35
17	Huddersfield	28	8	8	12	-2	32
18	Blackburn	27	6	12	9	+0	30
19	Fulham	28	6	10	12	-5	28
20	Milton Keynes Dons	28	7	5	16	-18	26
21	Rotherham	28	7	4	17	-15	25
22	Bristol City	28	5	9	14	-23	24
23	Charlton	28	4	9	15	-32	21
24	Bolton	28	3	11	14	-22	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hull	13	11	2	0	+26	35
2	Middlesbrough	14	10	2	2	+17	32
3	Burnley	14	9	3	2	+17	30
4	Sheffield Weds	13	9	3	1	+15	30
5	Brighton	14	9	2	3	+4	29
6	Cardiff	14	7	6	1	+8	27
7	Derby	14	7	5	2	+12	26
8	Nott'm Forest	15	6	6	3	+8	24
9	Reading	14	6	5	3	+7	23
10	Birmingham	14	7	2	5	+2	23
11	Ipswich	14	5	6	3	+3	21
12	Brentford	15	6	3	6	-2	21
13	QPR	14	4	8	2	+5	20
14	Huddersfield	14	5	4	5	+6	19
15	Milton Keynes Dons	14	6	1	7	-6	19
16	Preston	14	4	6	4	-1	18
17	Bolton	14	3	8	3	+0	17
18	Rotherham	14	5	2	7	-2	17
19	Wolves	14	4	5	5	-2	17
20	Leeds	14	4	5	5	-3	17
21	Blackburn	13	3	7	3	+3	16
22	Fulham	14	4	4	6	+0	16
23	Charlton	14	3	6	5	-7	15
24	Bristol City	14	3	5	6	-7	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ipswich	14	7	3	4	-1	24
2	Birmingham	14	6	5	3	+7	23
3	Middlesbrough	13	7	2	4	+6	23
4	Burnley	14	5	6	3	+4	21
5	Hull	14	6	3	5	+3	21
6	Wolves	14	6	3	5	+1	21
7	Brighton	13	4	8	1	+2	20
8	Derby	13	5	5	3	+0	20
9	Brentford	14	5	4	5	+3	19
10	Leeds	15	4	7	4	-1	19
11	Preston	14	4	5	5	-1	17
12	QPR	15	4	4	7	-5	16
13	Nott'm Forest	14	3	6	5	-3	15
14	Sheffield Weds	14	3	6	5	-4	15
15	Blackburn	14	3	5	6	-3	14
16	Cardiff	14	3	5	6	-4	14
17	Huddersfield	14	3	4	7	-8	13
18	Fulham	14	2	6	6	-5	12
19	Reading	14	3	3	8	-6	12
20	Bristol City	14	2	4	8	-16	10
21	Rotherham	14	2	2	10	-13	8
22	Milton Keynes Dons	14	1	4	9	-12	7
23	Charlton	14	1	3	10	-25	6
24	Bolton	14	0	3	11	-22	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.