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Championship
Referee: Tony Harrington
Wigan
T T T U T
2–1
Full-time
Wolves
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wigan Wolves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — Championship · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 28%
11%
44%
Points per game
0,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
56%
44%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

65% Possession 35%
6 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wigan 24. · Wolves 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 9 6 2 1 +6 20
2 Huddersfield 9 6 1 2 +4 19
3 Brighton 9 5 2 2 +6 17
4 Reading 9 5 2 2 +0 17
5 Newcastle 9 5 1 3 +10 16
6 Birmingham 9 4 4 1 +4 16
7 Barnsley 9 5 0 4 +6 15
8 Wolves 9 4 3 2 +3 15
9 Brentford 9 4 2 3 +6 14
10 Bristol City 9 4 2 3 +5 14
11 Sheffield Weds 9 4 2 3 -1 14
12 Leeds 9 4 1 4 -1 13
13 Fulham 9 3 4 2 -2 13
14 Ipswich 9 3 3 3 +0 12
15 Nott'm Forest 9 3 2 4 -2 11
16 QPR 9 3 2 4 -4 11
17 Aston Villa 9 1 6 2 +0 9
18 Burton Albion 9 2 3 4 -2 9
19 Preston 9 3 0 6 -4 9
20 Blackburn 9 2 2 5 -6 8
21 Cardiff 9 2 2 5 -7 8
22 Derby 9 1 3 5 -6 6
23 Rotherham 9 1 3 5 -12 6
24 Wigan 9 1 2 6 -3 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wigan Wolves
1–0 A. Le Fondre
M. Power
5′
Jordi Gomez 🟨
34′
34′
P. Oniangué 1–1
Ivan Cavaleiro
41′
🟨 Silvio
Max Power 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–1
53′
🟨 Romain Saïss
Stephen Warnock 🟨
56′
65′
🔁 G. Saville
↦ João Teixeira
65′
🔁 P. Gladon
↦ Ivan Cavaleiro
N. Powell 🔁
↦ Jordi Gómez
66′
W. Grigg 🔁
↦ A. Le Fondre
66′
71′
🟨 Prince Oniangué
77′
🔁 O. John
↦ P. Oniangué
M. Jacobs 🔁
↦ N. Byrne
79′
2–1 W. Grigg
J. Buxton
88′
Nick Powell 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Wigan

4-1-4-1
1 A. Bogdán G
23 S. Warnock M
3 J. Buxton D
33 D. Burn D
14 Jordi Gómez M
16 S. MacDonald M
4 D. Perkins M
6 M. Power M
10 N. Byrne M
11 A. Le Fondre F
31 Y. Wildschut F
Bench (7)
25 N. Powell
9 W. Grigg
17 M. Jacobs
18 K. Woolery
19 L. Garbutt
21 C. Davies
22 J. Jääskeläinen

Coach: G. Caldwell

Wolves

4-3-3
1 C. Ikeme G
6 D. Batth D
3 Sílvio D
2 M. Doherty M
18 D. Iorfa D
4 D. Edwards M
20 P. Oniangué M
17 Hélder Costa F
24 João Teixeira M
27 R. Saïss M
50 Ivan Cavaleiro F
Bench (7)
8 G. Saville
25 P. Gladon
15 O. John
5 R. Stearman
16 C. Coady
21 A. Lonergan
29 C. Borthwick-Jackson

Coach: W. Zenga

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tony Harrington · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.