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Championship
Referee: Andy Davies
Wolves
S T U T S
3–1
Full-time
Brentford
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Brentford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
This season — Championship · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
38%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
38%
38%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,1
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolves 10. · Brentford 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Huddersfield 8 6 1 1 +5 19
2 Norwich 8 5 2 1 +4 17
3 Newcastle 8 5 0 3 +10 15
4 Barnsley 8 5 0 3 +8 15
5 Birmingham 8 4 3 1 +4 15
6 Brentford 8 4 2 2 +8 14
7 Brighton 8 4 2 2 +4 14
8 Reading 8 4 2 2 -1 14
9 Fulham 8 3 4 1 +2 13
10 Wolves 8 3 3 2 +1 12
11 Ipswich 8 3 3 2 +1 12
12 Bristol City 8 3 2 3 +1 11
13 Nott'm Forest 8 3 2 3 -1 11
14 Sheffield Weds 8 3 2 3 -2 11
15 Leeds 8 3 1 4 -2 10
16 QPR 8 3 1 4 -4 10
17 Burton Albion 8 2 3 3 +0 9
18 Preston 9 3 0 6 -4 9
19 Aston Villa 8 1 5 2 +0 8
20 Derby 8 1 3 4 -5 6
21 Rotherham 8 1 3 4 -11 6
22 Wigan 9 1 2 6 -3 5
23 Blackburn 8 1 2 5 -7 5
24 Cardiff 8 1 2 5 -8 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolves Brentford
35′
🟨 Maxime Colin
37′
🟨 Romaine Sawyers
Half-time 1–0
1–0 João Teixeira
Hélder Costa
47′
50′
🔁 N. Yennaris
↦ J. McEachran
2–0 João Teixeira
57′
64′
🔁 L. Vibe
↦ L. MacLeod
67′
S. Kaikai 2–1
N. Yennaris
Ivan Cavaleiro 🔁
↦ Hélder Costa
69′
Romain Saïss 🟨
74′
76′
🟨 Harlee Dean
J. Mason 🔁
↦ João Teixeira
77′
C. Coady 🔁
↦ P. Oniangué
88′
90′
🟨 Ryan Woods
3–1 Ivan Cavaleiro
J. Böðvarsson
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Wolves

4-1-4-1
1 C. Ikeme G
6 D. Batth D
2 M. Doherty M
29 C. Borthwick-Jackson D
18 D. Iorfa D
4 D. Edwards M
20 P. Oniangué M
17 Hélder Costa F
24 João Teixeira M
27 R. Saïss M
22 J. Böðvarsson F
Bench (7)
50 Ivan Cavaleiro
10 J. Mason
16 C. Coady
21 A. Lonergan
25 P. Gladon
19 J. Price
5 R. Stearman

Coach: W. Zenga

Brentford

4-2-3-1
1 D. Bentley G
6 H. Dean D
14 J. Egan D
2 M. Colin D
29 Y. Barbet D
19 R. Sawyers M
10 J. McEachran M
4 L. MacLeod M
15 R. Woods M
9 S. Hogan F
25 S. Kaikai F
Bench (7)
8 N. Yennaris
21 L. Vibe
16 J. Bonham
12 A. McCormack
20 J. Clarke
7 S. Saunders
35 I. Chatzitheodoridis

Coach: D. Smith

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andy Davies · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.