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Championship
Referee: David Coote
2–1
Full-time
Wigan
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Wigan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 19%
17%
20%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
17%
60%
Both score Ø 47%
33%
60%
Average goals
1,7
3,2
Scored
0,5
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — Championship · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
20%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
0,6
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
18 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield Weds 19. · Wigan 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Huddersfield 5 4 1 0 +4 13
2 Fulham 5 3 2 0 +3 11
3 Reading 6 3 1 2 -2 10
4 Barnsley 5 3 0 2 +4 9
5 Newcastle 5 3 0 2 +4 9
6 QPR 5 3 0 2 +3 9
7 Bristol City 5 3 0 2 +2 9
8 Nott'm Forest 5 3 0 2 +0 9
9 Brighton 5 2 2 1 +4 8
10 Wolves 5 2 2 1 +3 8
11 Birmingham 5 2 2 1 +2 8
12 Norwich 5 2 2 1 +1 8
13 Ipswich 6 2 2 2 +0 8
14 Burton Albion 5 2 1 2 +1 7
15 Brentford 5 2 1 2 +1 7
16 Aston Villa 5 1 2 2 +0 5
17 Cardiff 5 1 2 2 -2 5
18 Derby 5 1 2 2 -2 5
19 Sheffield Weds 5 1 2 2 -3 5
20 Wigan 5 1 1 3 +0 4
21 Leeds 5 1 1 3 -4 4
22 Rotherham 5 1 1 3 -9 4
23 Preston 5 1 0 4 -2 3
24 Blackburn 5 0 1 4 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield Weds Wigan
3′
🟨 Max Power
5′
W. Grigg 0–1
M. Jacobs
23′
🟨 Luke Garbutt
1–1 S. Fletcher
B. Bannan
29′
Fernando Forestieri 🟨
34′
39′
🔁 S. MacDonald
↦ N. Powell
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 A. Le Fondre
↦ L. Burke
59′
🔁 Y. Wildschut
↦ L. Garbutt
G. Hooper 🔁
↦ A. Abdi
60′
2–1 F. Forestieri
62′
73′
🟨 Michael Jacobs
A. Reach 🔁
↦ D. Pudil
77′
W. Buckley 🔁
↦ B. Bannan
86′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

4-4-1-1
1 K. Westwood G
36 D. Pudil D
23 S. Hutchinson M
15 T. Lees D
33 R. Wallace M
5 K. Lee M
7 A. Abdi M
41 B. Bannan M
16 L. Palmer D
6 S. Fletcher F
45 F. Forestieri F
Bench (7)
14 G. Hooper
9 A. Reach
38 W. Buckley
2 J. Wildsmith
12 G. Loovens
32 J. Hunt
44 A. Nuhiu

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Wigan

3-4-2-1
1 A. Bogdán G
23 S. Warnock M
3 J. Buxton D
19 L. Garbutt D
32 R. Burke D
29 L. Burke D
17 M. Jacobs M
25 N. Powell M
6 M. Power M
7 A. Gilbey M
9 W. Grigg F
Bench (7)
16 S. MacDonald
11 A. Le Fondre
31 Y. Wildschut
14 Jordi Gómez
21 C. Davies
22 J. Jääskeläinen
33 D. Burn

Coach: G. Caldwell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Coote · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.