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Championship
Referee: James Adcock
Wolves
T S U T S
3–2
Full-time
Bristol City
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Championship · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 32%
27%
36%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
45%
55%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 22
9 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolves 18. · Bristol City 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Newcastle 22 16 1 5 +28 49
2 Brighton 22 14 6 2 +21 48
3 Reading 21 12 4 5 +6 40
4 Huddersfield 21 12 3 6 +1 39
5 Leeds 22 12 2 8 +4 38
6 Derby 22 10 6 6 +8 36
7 Sheffield Weds 21 10 4 7 +2 34
8 Birmingham 22 9 7 6 -2 34
9 Norwich 22 10 3 9 +3 33
10 Preston 22 9 5 8 +3 32
11 Barnsley 22 9 4 9 +3 31
12 Aston Villa 22 7 10 5 +2 31
13 Fulham 21 7 9 5 +5 30
14 Brentford 23 8 5 10 -1 29
15 Ipswich 22 7 7 8 -2 28
16 Bristol City 22 8 3 11 +1 27
17 Nott'm Forest 22 7 5 10 -4 26
18 Wolves 22 6 7 9 -2 25
19 Cardiff 23 6 6 11 -12 24
20 QPR 22 6 5 11 -11 23
21 Burton Albion 22 5 7 10 -7 22
22 Blackburn 22 5 5 12 -10 20
23 Wigan 22 4 6 12 -9 18
24 Rotherham 22 2 4 16 -27 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolves Bristol City
1–0 D. Edwards
Hélder Costa
3′
31′
🟨 Adam Matthews
37′
🟨 Marlon Pack
38′
T. Abraham 1–1
L. Tomlin
44′
A. Flint 1–2
J. Brownhill
Half-time 1–2
Conor Coady 🟨
53′
2–2 Hélder Costa
C. Coady
57′
66′
🔁 M. Little
↦ A. Matthews
66′
🔁 C. O'Dowda
↦ B. Reid
67′
🟨 Luke Freeman
J. Mason 🔁
↦ B. Enobakhare
78′
J. Böðvarsson 🔁
↦ N. Dicko
78′
3–2 Ivan Cavaleiro
84′
86′
🔁 A. Wilbraham
↦ L. Freeman
Ivan Cavaleiro 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Wolves

4-2-3-1
1 C. Ikeme G
5 R. Stearman D
6 D. Batth D
2 M. Doherty M
4 D. Edwards M
17 Hélder Costa F
16 C. Coady D
19 J. Price M
9 N. Dicko F
50 Ivan Cavaleiro F
26 B. Enobakhare F
Bench (7)
10 J. Mason
22 J. Böðvarsson
31 H. Burgoyne
8 G. Saville
18 D. Iorfa
30 K. Hause
43 C. Ronan

Coach: P. Lambert

Bristol City

4-2-3-1
1 F. Fielding G
27 A. Matthews D
4 A. Flint D
23 H. Magnússon D
3 J. Bryan D
21 M. Pack M
14 B. Reid F
8 J. Brownhill M
10 L. Tomlin M
15 L. Freeman M
9 T. Abraham F
Bench (7)
2 M. Little
11 C. O'Dowda
18 A. Wilbraham
7 K. Smith
16 G. Engvall
20 J. Paterson
29 I. Lucic

Coach: L. Johnson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

James Adcock · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.