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Pro League
Referee: Visser
Club Brugge
U S S S S
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
4,2
2,8
Scored
3,5
0,2
Conceded
0,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
+2,8
-2,5
This season — Pro League · 13/20 matches
Win Ø 42%
69%
15%
Points per game
2,2
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
62%
60%
Both score Ø 52%
54%
50%
Average goals
3,4
2,9
Scored
2,5
0,9
Conceded
0,8
2,1
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Club Brugge 4. · Royal Excel Mouscron 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mechelen 21 10 5 6 +5 35
2 Standard 20 9 6 5 +15 33
3 Waregem 15 10 3 2 +14 33
4 Club Brugge 13 9 2 2 +22 29
5 Anderlecht 13 9 2 2 +22 29
6 Oostende 13 8 2 3 +15 26
7 Gent 13 8 2 3 +10 26
8 Charleroi 15 7 5 3 +4 26
9 Genk 19 7 4 8 -7 25
10 Lokeren 21 6 6 9 -5 24
11 Kortrijk 21 6 6 9 -11 24
12 Eupen 21 5 5 11 -18 20
13 St Truiden 20 5 4 11 -8 19
14 Beveren 20 4 7 9 -12 19
15 Westerlo 21 3 6 12 -22 15
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 20 3 3 14 -24 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Club Brugge Royal Excel Mouscron
8′
A. Nkaka 0–1
Trézéguet
Half-time 0–1
Dion Cools 🟨
58′
60′
🟨 Dimitri Mohamed
1–1 R. van Rhijn
61′
2–1 J. Vossen
R. van Rhijn
68′
73′
🔁 L. Stojanović
↦ N. Gulan
75′
🟨 Aristote Nkaka
76′
🔁 F. Mulić
↦ S. Diédhiou
Claudemir 🔁
↦ L. Refaelov
80′
82′
🔁 F. Olinga
↦ Trézéguet
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Club Brugge

1 L. Butelle G
2 R. van Rhijn D
24 S. Denswil D
4 B. Engels D
21 D. Cools D
25 R. Vormer M
3 T. Simons M
20 H. Vanaken M
9 J. Vossen F
8 L. Refaelov M
11 J. Izquierdo M
Bench (7)
6 Claudemir
5 B. Poulain
7 Wesley
15 Tomás Pina
16 S. Bruzzese
42 N. Storm
63 B. Bolingoli Mbombo

Coach: M. Preud'homme

Royal Excel Mouscron

21 M. Delač
24 N. Gulan
28 J. Huyghebaert
34 S. Simič
29 T. Peyre
27 M. Vojvoda
26 A. Nkaka
5 D. Hubert
11 D. Mohamed
10 Trézéguet
20 S. Diédhiou
Bench (7)
22 L. Stojanović
45 F. Mulić
8 F. Olinga
6 C. Manea
16 V. Viola
19 M. Selak
33 T. Defourmy

Coach: M. Rednic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.