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Championship
Referee: Graham Scott
Nott'm Forest
S S S T U
0–2
Full-time
Wolves
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Wolves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — Championship · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 29%
33%
24%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
71%
48%
Both score Ø 67%
76%
57%
Average goals
3,4
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 6
21 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nott'm Forest 16. · Wolves 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Newcastle 21 15 1 5 +27 46
2 Brighton 21 13 6 2 +20 45
3 Huddersfield 21 12 3 6 +1 39
4 Reading 20 11 4 5 +5 37
5 Derby 21 10 5 6 +8 35
6 Leeds 21 11 2 8 +3 35
7 Birmingham 21 9 7 5 -1 34
8 Norwich 22 10 3 9 +3 33
9 Sheffield Weds 20 9 4 7 +1 31
10 Fulham 20 7 8 5 +5 29
11 Preston 21 8 5 8 +2 29
12 Barnsley 21 8 4 9 +2 28
13 Aston Villa 21 6 10 5 +1 28
14 Brentford 21 8 4 9 +0 28
15 Bristol City 21 8 3 10 +2 27
16 Nott'm Forest 21 7 5 9 -2 26
17 Ipswich 21 6 7 8 -3 25
18 QPR 21 6 5 10 -10 23
19 Cardiff 21 6 5 10 -11 23
20 Wolves 21 5 7 9 -4 22
21 Burton Albion 21 5 7 9 -6 22
22 Blackburn 21 5 5 11 -9 20
23 Wigan 21 4 6 11 -8 18
24 Rotherham 21 2 4 15 -26 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nott'm Forest Wolves
27′
🟨 Jack Price
Apostolos Vellios 🟨
32′
40′
Hélder Costa 0–1
Ivan Cavaleiro
Half-time 0–1
Matthew Mills 🟨
57′
D. Vaughan 🔁
↦ J. Grant
59′
Hildeberto Pereira 🔁
↦ M. Carayol
62′
69′
🔁 R. Saïss
↦ B. Enobakhare
78′
🟨 Matt Doherty
79′
🟨 Ivan Cavaleiro
79′
Ivan Cavaleiro 0–2
Hélder Costa
Licá 🔁
↦ P. Kasami
80′
81′
🔁 C. Ronan
↦ Hélder Costa
83′
🔁 J. Böðvarsson
↦ N. Dicko
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Nott'm Forest

4-2-3-1
38 V. Stojković G
4 M. Mancienne D
5 M. Mills D
2 E. Lichaj D
37 J. Grant M
42 J. Worrall D
18 M. Carayol M
22 P. Kasami M
11 B. Osborn M
41 M. Cash M
39 A. Vellios F
Bench (7)
24 D. Vaughan
17 Hildeberto Pereira
20 Licá
12 N. Dumitru
25 J. Hobbs
30 S. Henderson
48 A. Ahmedhodzic

Coach: P. Montanier

Wolves

4-2-3-1
1 C. Ikeme G
5 R. Stearman D
6 D. Batth D
2 M. Doherty M
4 D. Edwards M
17 Hélder Costa F
16 C. Coady D
19 J. Price M
9 N. Dicko F
50 Ivan Cavaleiro F
26 B. Enobakhare F
Bench (7)
27 R. Saïss
43 C. Ronan
22 J. Böðvarsson
31 H. Burgoyne
8 G. Saville
18 D. Iorfa
30 K. Hause

Coach: P. Lambert

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Graham Scott · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.