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Championship
Referee: Tim Robinson
Norwich
T T S T S
2–0
Full-time
Brighton
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Brighton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — Championship · 43/43 matches
Win Ø 54%
42%
65%
Points per game
1,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
70%
51%
Both score Ø 53%
65%
40%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
7 Shots 11
0 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norwich 8. · Brighton 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 43 28 8 7 +37 92
2 Newcastle 43 26 7 10 +37 85
3 Reading 40 23 7 10 +7 76
4 Huddersfield 39 23 6 10 +7 75
5 Leeds 43 22 7 14 +15 73
6 Fulham 41 19 13 9 +20 70
7 Sheffield Weds 41 20 9 12 +11 69
8 Norwich 43 18 9 16 +10 63
9 Derby 43 17 12 14 +3 63
10 Preston 43 16 13 14 +5 61
11 Brentford 43 17 9 17 +10 60
12 Aston Villa 43 15 13 15 -1 58
13 Cardiff 43 16 10 17 -2 58
14 Barnsley 43 15 12 16 +1 57
15 Ipswich 43 13 16 14 -5 55
16 Wolves 42 15 9 18 -2 54
17 QPR 43 14 8 21 -10 50
18 Bristol City 43 13 9 21 -7 48
19 Burton Albion 43 12 12 19 -13 48
20 Birmingham 43 11 14 18 -21 47
21 Nott'm Forest 43 12 9 22 -12 45
22 Blackburn 43 10 14 19 -15 44
23 Wigan 43 10 10 23 -16 40
24 Rotherham 43 4 6 33 -59 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Oct -16 Brighton – Norwich 5–0

Match report

Norwich Brighton
0–1 D. Stockdale
own goal
18′
Graham Dorrans 🟨
19′
19′
🟨 Anthony Knockaert
0–2 D. Stockdale
own goal
39′
Half-time 0–2
63′
🔁 D. Stephens
↦ O. Norwood
63′
🔁 T. Hemed
↦ A. Knockaert
81′
🟨 Glenn Murray
83′
🔁 C. Akpom
↦ G. Murray
W. Hoolahan 🔁
↦ Josh Murphy
86′
J. Maddison 🔁
↦ A. Pritchard
88′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Norwich

4-2-3-1
1 J. Ruddy
24 R. Bennett D
5 R. Martin D
25 Ivo Pinto D
3 M. Dijks D
4 G. Dorrans M
8 J. Howson M
21 A. Pritchard M
7 S. Naismith M
9 Nélson Oliveira F
31 Josh Murphy M
Bench (7)
14 W. Hoolahan
28 J. Maddison
2 S. Whittaker
10 C. Jerome
22 Jacob Murphy
27 A. Tettey
33 M. McGovern

Coach: A. Irvine

Brighton

4-4-1-1
13 D. Stockdale
4 U. Hünemeier D
12 S. Pocognoli D
2 Bruno Saltor D
5 L. Dunk D
14 S. Sidwell M
15 J. Murphy M
21 O. Norwood M
11 A. Knockaert M
20 S. March M
17 G. Murray F
Bench (7)
6 D. Stephens
10 T. Hemed
28 C. Akpom
1 N. Mäenpää
8 J. Skalák
23 L. Rosenior
27 F. Tomori

Coach: C. Hughton

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tim Robinson · 110 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.