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Bundesliga
Referee: Marco Fritz
FC Koln
S T S T T
1–1
Full-time
Hoffenheim
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Hoffenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 41%
34%
48%
Points per game
1,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
55%
55%
Both score Ø 64%
62%
66%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,9
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
12 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
4 Offside 5
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Koln 7. · Hoffenheim 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 29 21 6 2 +56 69
2 RB Leipzig 29 19 4 6 +25 61
3 Hoffenheim 29 14 12 3 +25 54
4 Dortmund 29 15 8 6 +29 53
5 Hertha 29 13 4 12 +2 43
6 Freiburg 29 12 5 12 -15 41
7 FC Koln 29 10 10 9 +6 40
8 Werder Bremen 29 11 6 12 -3 39
9 M'gladbach 29 11 6 12 -4 39
10 Ein Frankfurt 29 10 8 11 -4 38
11 Schalke 04 29 10 7 12 +4 37
12 Leverkusen 29 10 6 13 -2 36
13 Wolfsburg 29 9 6 14 -12 33
14 Hamburg 29 9 6 14 -24 33
15 Mainz 29 9 5 15 -10 32
16 Augsburg 29 8 8 13 -18 32
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 29 8 4 17 -19 28
18 Darmstadt 29 5 3 21 -36 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Hoffenheim
Dominique Heintz 🟨
21′
Half-time 0–0
N. Subotić 🔁
↦ D. Heintz
52′
57′
🔁 N. Amiri
↦ A. Kramarić
1–0 L. Bittencourt
J. Hector
58′
62′
🔁 M. Uth
↦ Á. Szalai
S. Özcan 🔁
↦ L. Bittencourt
68′
72′
🔁 L. Rupp
↦ J. Toljan
M. Höger 🔁
↦ K. Rausch
82′
Yuya Osako 🟨
90′
93′
K. Demirbay 1–1
N. Süle
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

FC Koln

4-3-3
1 T. Horn G
34 K. Rausch D
14 J. Hector M
4 F. Sørensen D
3 D. Heintz D
24 L. Klünter D
33 M. Lehmann M
8 M. Jojić M
21 L. Bittencourt M
27 A. Modeste F
13 Y. Ōsako F
Bench (7)
2 N. Subotić
20 S. Özcan
6 M. Höger
5 D. Maroh
9 A. Rudņevs
17 C. Clemens
18 T. Kessler

Coach: P. Stöger

Hoffenheim

3-1-4-2
1 O. Baumann G
4 E. Bičakčić D
15 J. Toljan D
25 N. Süle D
6 S. Rudy M
17 S. Zuber M
22 K. Vogt D
13 K. Demirbay M
14 S. Wagner F
28 Á. Szalai F
27 A. Kramarić F
Bench (7)
18 N. Amiri
19 M. Uth
7 L. Rupp
3 P. Kadeřábek
8 E. Polanski
16 P. Schwegler
33 A. Stolz

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marco Fritz · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.