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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Gent
S S S U S
1–1
Full-time
Oostende
U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 55%
57%
52%
Points per game
1,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
43%
70%
Both score Ø 50%
39%
61%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
10 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 9
8 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 6. · Oostende 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 23 15 5 3 +32 50
2 Waregem 23 14 6 3 +20 48
3 Mechelen 30 14 6 10 +5 48
4 Genk 30 14 6 10 +5 48
5 Club Brugge 23 13 5 5 +25 44
6 Gent 23 13 5 5 +15 44
7 Oostende 23 12 6 5 +19 42
8 Standard 30 10 12 8 +9 42
9 Charleroi 23 9 10 4 +5 37
10 Lokeren 30 7 10 13 -10 31
11 Kortrijk 30 8 7 15 -17 31
12 St Truiden 30 8 6 16 -13 30
13 Beveren 30 7 9 14 -15 30
14 Eupen 30 8 6 16 -24 30
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 7 3 20 -24 24
16 Westerlo 30 5 8 17 -32 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Oostende
Anderson Esiti 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
K. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ J. Perbet
63′
66′
F. Berrier 0–1
Fernando Canesin
S. Kalu 🔁
↦ B. Dejaegere
72′
T. Matton 🔁
↦ A. Esiti
73′
1–1 Y. Kubo
S. Kalu
73′
81′
🔁 J. Akpala
↦ L. Dimata
85′
🔁 Y. El Ghanassy
↦ Fernando Canesin
90′
🟨 Silvio Proto
91′
🔁 H. Özkan
↦ K. Vandendriessche
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-3
91 L. Kalinić G
21 N. Asare D
55 R. Gershon D
13 S. Mitrović D
2 S. Gigot D
77 D. Miličević F
19 B. Dejaegere F
44 A. Esiti M
24 J. Perbet F
31 Y. Kubo F
27 M. Simon F
Bench (7)
7 K. Coulibaly
18 S. Kalu
8 T. Matton
4 W. Troost-Ekong
15 K. Saief
32 T. Foket
20 Y. Thoelen

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Oostende

4-2-3-1
1 S. Proto G
44 A. Milić D
4 F. Antunes D
6 M. Bossaerts D
7 S. Siani F
10 F. Berrier M
26 K. Vandendriessche D
55 Fernando Canesin F
77 A. Marušić M
11 K. Musona F
19 L. Dimata F
Bench (7)
17 J. Akpala
8 Y. El Ghanassy
36 H. Özkan
15 A. Jali
28 W. Dutoît
31 B. Godeau
18 D. Rozehnal

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.