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Championship
Referee: Robert Jones
Cardiff
U S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Barnsley
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff Barnsley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
This season — Championship · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 40%
59%
21%
Points per game
2,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
41%
47%
Both score Ø 49%
41%
56%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
11 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cardiff 2. · Barnsley 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 34 22 7 5 +31 73
2 Cardiff 34 20 7 7 +23 67
3 Derby 33 16 11 6 +22 59
4 Fulham 32 16 10 6 +21 58
5 Bristol City 35 15 12 8 +12 57
6 Aston Villa 31 16 8 7 +19 56
7 Sheffield United 34 17 4 13 +9 55
8 Middlesbrough 33 16 6 11 +16 54
9 Preston 35 13 15 7 +9 54
10 Brentford 34 13 11 10 +9 50
11 Millwall 35 12 13 10 +5 49
12 Leeds 35 14 7 14 +1 49
13 Ipswich 34 14 6 14 +2 48
14 Norwich 34 12 11 11 -3 47
15 Nott'm Forest 35 13 4 18 -11 43
16 QPR 34 10 9 15 -13 39
17 Sheffield Weds 35 8 13 14 -11 37
18 Reading 34 8 10 16 -9 34
19 Bolton 35 8 10 17 -24 34
20 Hull 34 7 12 15 -6 33
21 Barnsley 34 7 11 16 -14 32
22 Birmingham 35 8 6 21 -30 30
23 Burton Albion 34 7 8 19 -34 29
24 Sunderland 35 5 13 17 -24 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cardiff Barnsley
Marko Grujić 🟨
14′
14′
🟨 Gary Gardner
1–0 C. Paterson
K. Zohorè
31′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 C. Knasmüllner
↦ G. Gardner
2–0 M. Grujić
46′
G. Halford 🔁
↦ M. Grujić
56′
60′
O. McBurnie 2–1
C. Knasmüllner
L. Damour 🔁
↦ C. Paterson
62′
N. Mendez-Laing 🔁
↦ K. Harris
70′
75′
🔁 R. Hedges
↦ M. Thiam
Greg Halford 🟨
81′
83′
🟨 Andy Yiadom
85′
🟨 Kieffer Moore
87′
🔁 T. Bradshaw
↦ B. Potts
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Cardiff

4-3-3
25 N. Etheridge G
16 M. Connolly D
5 B. Écuélé Manga D
14 S. Bamba D
3 J. Bennett D
18 C. Paterson M
21 C. Bryson M
11 K. Harris M
24 M. Grujić M
33 J. Hoilett F
10 K. Zohorè F
Bench (7)
15 G. Halford
20 L. Damour
19 N. Mendez-Laing
12 L. Feeney
13 A. Pilkington
28 B. Murphy
35 Y. Wildschut

Coach: N. Warnock

Barnsley

4-3-3
13 N. Townsend G
3 Z. Fryers D
6 L. Lindsay D
16 E. Pinnock D
22 G. Gardner M
17 A. Yiadom D
20 B. Potts M
19 K. Moore F
4 J. Williams M
26 M. Thiam F
15 O. McBurnie F
Bench (7)
33 C. Knasmüllner
34 R. Hedges
9 T. Bradshaw
1 A. Davies
12 D. Cavaré
21 C. Mahoney
24 M. Pearson

Coach: José Morais

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Robert Jones · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.