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Championship
Referee: Tony Harrington
Burton Albion
T U U S T
0–2
Full-time
Brentford
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burton Albion Brentford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Championship · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 30%
21%
38%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
53%
47%
Both score Ø 46%
44%
47%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
3 Shots 12
0 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burton Albion 23. · Brentford 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 34 22 7 5 +31 73
2 Cardiff 34 20 7 7 +23 67
3 Derby 33 16 11 6 +22 59
4 Fulham 32 16 10 6 +21 58
5 Bristol City 35 15 12 8 +12 57
6 Aston Villa 31 16 8 7 +19 56
7 Sheffield United 34 17 4 13 +9 55
8 Middlesbrough 33 16 6 11 +16 54
9 Preston 35 13 15 7 +9 54
10 Brentford 34 13 11 10 +9 50
11 Millwall 35 12 13 10 +5 49
12 Leeds 35 14 7 14 +1 49
13 Ipswich 34 14 6 14 +2 48
14 Norwich 34 12 11 11 -3 47
15 Nott'm Forest 35 13 4 18 -11 43
16 QPR 34 10 9 15 -13 39
17 Sheffield Weds 35 8 13 14 -11 37
18 Reading 34 8 10 16 -9 34
19 Bolton 35 8 10 17 -24 34
20 Hull 34 7 12 15 -6 33
21 Barnsley 34 7 11 16 -14 32
22 Birmingham 35 8 6 21 -30 30
23 Burton Albion 34 7 8 19 -34 29
24 Sunderland 35 5 13 17 -24 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burton Albion Brentford
33′
🟨 Neal Maupay
T. Flanagan 🔁
↦ D. McCrory
41′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Marcondes
↦ N. Maupay
M. Sordell 🔁
↦ M. Samuelsen
53′
Tom Flanagan 🟨
59′
60′
K. McFadzean 1–0
own goal
72′
🔁 Sergi Canós
↦ F. Jozefzoon
78′
🔁 N. Yennaris
↦ K. Mokotjo
80′
O. Watkins 1–1
N. Yennaris
D. Bent 🔁
↦ L. Boyce
82′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Burton Albion

4-1-4-1
1 S. Bywater G
5 K. McFadzean D
14 D. McCrory D
11 L. Dyer M
7 L. Murphy M
15 T. Naylor D
4 J. Allen M
20 M. Samuelsen M
19 J. Davenport M
10 L. Akins F
27 L. Boyce F
Bench (7)
12 T. Flanagan
17 M. Sordell
9 D. Bent
16 L. Varney
23 J. Buxton
24 H. Campbell
26 J. Sbarra

Coach: N. Clough

Brentford

4-2-3-1
1 D. Bentley G
5 A. Bjelland D
22 H. Dalsgaard D
14 J. Egan D
19 R. Sawyers M
12 K. Mokotjo M
15 R. Woods M
20 J. Clarke D
7 F. Jozefzoon M
9 N. Maupay F
11 O. Watkins M
Bench (7)
17 E. Marcondes
47 Sergi Canós
8 N. Yennaris
4 L. MacLeod
10 J. McEachran
28 L. Daniels
33 C. Mepham

Coach: D. Smith

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tony Harrington · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.