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Championship
Referee: Jeremy Simpson
Ipswich
U T S S U
0–3
Full-time
Hull
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ipswich Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,2
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Championship · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 32%
42%
22%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
42%
56%
Both score Ø 54%
44%
64%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

60% Possession 40%
10 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ipswich 12. · Hull 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 36 23 7 6 +31 76
2 Cardiff 36 22 7 7 +25 73
3 Fulham 34 18 10 6 +25 64
4 Aston Villa 33 18 8 7 +25 62
5 Derby 35 16 13 6 +22 61
6 Middlesbrough 35 18 6 11 +19 60
7 Bristol City 37 15 13 9 +11 58
8 Preston 37 14 15 8 +9 57
9 Sheffield United 36 17 5 14 +6 56
10 Millwall 37 14 13 10 +7 55
11 Brentford 36 14 11 11 +10 53
12 Ipswich 36 15 7 14 +3 52
13 Leeds 37 14 8 15 -2 50
14 Norwich 36 12 12 12 -4 48
15 Nott'm Forest 37 13 6 18 -11 45
16 QPR 36 11 10 15 -12 43
17 Sheffield Weds 37 8 14 15 -12 38
18 Hull 36 8 12 16 -6 36
19 Reading 36 8 12 16 -9 36
20 Bolton 37 8 12 17 -24 36
21 Barnsley 36 7 11 18 -17 32
22 Birmingham 37 8 6 23 -32 30
23 Burton Albion 36 7 9 20 -36 30
24 Sunderland 37 5 13 19 -28 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ipswich Hull
18′
M. Henriksen 0–1
J. Irvine
40′
H. Wilson 0–2
O. Aina
Bersant Celina 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–2
M. Waghorn 🔁
↦ T. Nydam
46′
C. Connolly 🔁
↦ S. Gleeson
46′
47′
J. Bowen 0–3
M. Henriksen
64′
🔁 W. Keane
↦ F. Campbell
73′
🔁 D. Meyler
↦ S. Larsson
B. Morris 🔁
↦ B. Celina
80′
80′
🔁 K. Grosicki
↦ J. Irvine
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Ipswich

4-3-3
33 B. Bialkowski G
4 L. Chambers D
12 J. Spence D
3 J. Knudsen D
27 C. Carter-Vickers D
25 S. Gleeson M
19 L. Hyam D
18 G. Ward M
22 T. Nydam M
20 F. Sears F
11 B. Celina M
Bench (7)
9 M. Waghorn
16 C. Connolly
35 B. Morris
6 A. Webster
24 M. Crowe
30 M. Kenlock
26 A. Drinan

Coach: M. McCarthy

Hull

4-2-3-1
1 A. McGregor G
21 M. Dawson D
5 M. Hector D
34 O. Aina D
24 M. Clark D
16 S. Larsson M
22 M. Henriksen M
4 J. Irvine M
49 H. Wilson M
25 F. Campbell F
20 J. Bowen M
Bench (7)
19 W. Keane
8 D. Meyler
7 K. Grosicki
9 N. Dicko
12 D. Marshall
29 F. Tomori
50 A. MacDonald

Coach: N. Adkins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jeremy Simpson · 104 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.