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Championship
Referee: Robert Jones
Wolves
U U T S T
3–0
Full-time
Reading
U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Reading
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Championship · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 43%
64%
22%
Points per game
2,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
44%
Both score Ø 50%
42%
58%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 2
8 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolves 1. · Reading 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 36 23 7 6 +31 76
2 Cardiff 36 22 7 7 +25 73
3 Fulham 34 18 10 6 +25 64
4 Aston Villa 33 18 8 7 +25 62
5 Derby 35 16 13 6 +22 61
6 Middlesbrough 35 18 6 11 +19 60
7 Bristol City 37 15 13 9 +11 58
8 Preston 37 14 15 8 +9 57
9 Sheffield United 36 17 5 14 +6 56
10 Millwall 37 14 13 10 +7 55
11 Brentford 36 14 11 11 +10 53
12 Ipswich 36 15 7 14 +3 52
13 Leeds 37 14 8 15 -2 50
14 Norwich 36 12 12 12 -4 48
15 Nott'm Forest 37 13 6 18 -11 45
16 QPR 36 11 10 15 -12 43
17 Sheffield Weds 37 8 14 15 -12 38
18 Hull 36 8 12 16 -6 36
19 Reading 36 8 12 16 -9 36
20 Bolton 37 8 12 17 -24 36
21 Barnsley 36 7 11 18 -17 32
22 Birmingham 37 8 6 23 -32 30
23 Burton Albion 36 7 9 20 -36 30
24 Sunderland 37 5 13 19 -28 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolves Reading
Ivan Cavaleiro 🔁
↦ Diogo Jota
25′
1–0 M. Doherty
B. Douglas
40′
Half-time 1–0
51′
🟨 Chris Gunter
54′
🟨 George Evans
2–0 B. Afobe
Hélder Costa
58′
63′
🔁 L. Bacuna
↦ G. Evans
Léo Bonatini 🔁
↦ B. Afobe
72′
3–0 M. Doherty
Ivan Cavaleiro
73′
A. N'Diaye 🔁
↦ R. Saïss
78′
83′
🔁 S. Smith
↦ J. Böðvarsson
Ryan Bennett 🟨
85′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Wolves

3-4-3
21 J. Ruddy
3 B. Douglas M
5 R. Bennett D
15 W. Boly D
2 M. Doherty M
16 C. Coady D
17 Hélder Costa F
27 R. Saïss M
8 Rúben Neves M
18 Diogo Jota F
19 B. Afobe F
Bench (7)
7 Ivan Cavaleiro
33 Léo Bonatini
4 A. N'Diaye
6 D. Batth
24 M. Gibbs-White
25 Roderick
31 W. Norris

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Reading

4-3-3
31 A. Jaakkola G
2 C. Gunter D
6 L. Moore D
20 Tiago Ilori D
24 T. Blackett D
14 S. Aluko M
16 D. Edwards M
8 G. Evans M
23 J. Böðvarsson F
17 M. Barrow M
22 P. Clement M
Bench (7)
19 L. Bacuna
55 S. Smith
1 V. Mannone
18 Y. Kermorgant
42 A. Rinomhota
56 D. Loader
57 T. Holmes

Coach: J. Stam

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Robert Jones · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.