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Bundesliga
Referee: Christian Dingert
Hannover
U S S T S
1–3
Full-time
Hertha
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 36%
27%
45%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
55%
45%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
8 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hannover 14. · Hertha 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 11 10 1 0 +29 31
2 Dortmund 11 8 2 1 +19 26
3 Wolfsburg 11 6 3 2 +4 21
4 Schalke 04 11 6 2 3 +1 20
5 M'gladbach 11 6 0 5 +5 18
6 Hertha 11 5 2 4 +0 17
7 Leverkusen 11 5 2 4 -1 17
8 FC Ingolstadt 04 11 4 3 4 -2 15
9 FC Koln 11 4 3 4 -4 15
10 Hamburg 11 4 2 5 -5 14
11 Ein Frankfurt 11 3 4 4 -1 13
12 Mainz 11 4 1 6 -3 13
13 Darmstadt 11 3 4 4 -3 13
14 Hannover 11 3 2 6 -8 11
15 Stuttgart 11 3 1 7 -6 10
16 Werder Bremen 11 3 1 7 -7 10
17 Hoffenheim 11 1 4 6 -7 7
18 Augsburg 11 1 3 7 -11 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover Hertha
Artur Sobiech 🟨
5′
28′
🟨 Vladimír Darida
33′
S. Kalou 0–1
G. Haraguchi
Half-time 0–1
A. Saint-Maximin 🔁
↦ F. Klaus
46′
Leon Andreasen 🟨
59′
60′
S. Kalou 0–2
V. Darida
70′
🟨 Marvin Plattenhardt
1–2 H. Kiyotake
70′
M. Erdinç 🔁
↦ L. Andreasen
71′
76′
🔁 J. Hegeler
↦ F. Lustenberger
77′
🟨 Per Ciljan Skjelbred
87′
S. Kalou 1–3
90′
🔁 A. Baumjohann
↦ S. Kalou
91′
🔁 V. Stocker
↦ M. Weiser
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Hannover

1 R. Zieler G
19 C. Schulz D
25 Marcelo D
3 Miiko Albornoz D
4 H. Sakai D
5 S. Sané D
2 L. Andreasen M
10 H. Kiyotake M
11 F. Klaus M
17 U. Bech F
9 A. Sobiech F
Bench (7)
14 A. Saint-Maximin
39 M. Erdinç
8 M. Schmiedebach
13 P. Tschauner
20 Felipe
26 K. Karaman
29 O. Sorg

Hertha

22 R. Jarstein G
28 F. Lustenberger M
15 S. Langkamp D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
25 J. Brooks D
39 Y. Regäsel D
3 P. Skjelbred M
24 G. Haraguchi M
6 V. Darida M
20 M. Weiser D
8 S. Kalou M
Bench (7)
13 J. Hegeler
9 A. Baumjohann
14 V. Stocker
12 Ronny
17 T. Cigerci
27 R. Beerens
35 M. Gersbeck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Christian Dingert · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.