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Royal Excel Mouscron

U T S U T

2–2

Full-time

Waregem

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Waregem

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

4,8

Scored

1,7

2,8

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,8

This season — Pro League · 11/9 matches

Win Ø 42%

27%

56%

Points per game

1,1

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 87%

73%

100%

Both score Ø 76%

73%

78%

Average goals

3,1

4,3

Scored

1,5

2,4

Conceded

1,6

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 9. · Waregem 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	10	7	1	2	+17	22
2	Oostende	9	6	3	0	+11	21
3	Gent	9	6	3	0	+10	21
4	Anderlecht	9	6	3	0	+10	21
5	St Truiden	12	6	1	5	+1	19
6	Waregem	9	5	1	3	+5	16
7	Genk	9	5	0	4	-1	15
8	Charleroi	9	3	4	2	+2	13
9	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	3	3	5	-2	12
10	Mechelen	11	3	3	5	-4	12
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	3	3	8	-9	12
12	Beveren	11	4	0	7	-9	12
13	Westerlo	14	2	5	7	-11	11
14	Lokeren	12	3	1	8	-6	10
15	Standard	11	3	1	7	-12	10
16	Kortrijk	10	1	6	3	-2	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	5	5	0	0	+16	15
2	Anderlecht	5	4	1	0	+5	13
3	St Truiden	6	4	1	1	+3	13
4	Oostende	4	4	0	0	+6	12
5	Genk	6	4	0	2	+1	12
6	Waregem	4	3	1	0	+8	10
7	Mechelen	5	3	1	1	+4	10
8	Charleroi	7	2	4	1	+3	10
9	Gent	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	Kortrijk	5	1	4	0	+1	7
11	Standard	6	2	1	3	-1	7
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	2	1	4	-4	7
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Westerlo	7	1	2	4	-8	5
15	Beveren	5	1	0	4	-7	3
16	Lokeren	5	0	0	5	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	6	4	2	0	+6	14
2	Lokeren	7	3	1	3	-1	10
3	Oostende	5	2	3	0	+5	9
4	Beveren	6	3	0	3	-2	9
5	Anderlecht	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	Club Brugge	5	2	1	2	+1	7
7	Royal Excel Mouscron	6	2	1	3	+0	7
8	St Truiden	6	2	0	4	-2	6
9	Westerlo	7	1	3	3	-3	6
10	Waregem	5	2	0	3	-3	6
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	1	2	4	-5	5
12	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Genk	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Standard	5	1	0	4	-11	3
15	Kortrijk	5	0	2	3	-3	2
16	Mechelen	6	0	2	4	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.